第 186 期

换帅呼声渐长、金主倒戈、哈里斯总统?最高法院裁决解读:豁免权、雪佛龙、审查制度

Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship

民主党与其金主裂痕加深,猜测拜登是否退选及哈里斯能否获提名,并解读最高法院在总统豁免权、雪佛龙案和社交媒体审查方面的裁决。

官方音频00:00 / --:--

本期章节点时间可跳到音频对应位置

  1. 0:00开场寒暄!
  2. 5:51民主党人与金主决裂;拜登总统将辞职?哈里斯副总统会成为提名人吗?
  3. 26:22认知衰退掩盖,Bestie 给民主党的策略
  4. 34:38最高法院澄清社交媒体审核
  5. 47:06最高法院推翻雪佛龙原则,限制联邦机构权力
  6. 1:00:03最高法院将审理德州限制网络色情案
  7. 1:05:27最高法院在豁免案中裁定特朗普总统胜诉
文稿来自 All-In 官网(allin.com)发布的官方 Transcript,说话人按官网分轨数据标注,个别段落可能张冠李戴。
Jason Calacanis (00:00:00): Alright, everybody. Welcome back. It's hot swap summer here at the All-In Podcast, episode 186 of the world's number one podcast. Calling in from the home office in Italy. Chamath Palihapitiya. How are you doing, sir? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:00:18): Great. How are you? Jason Calacanis (00:00:19): You look so relaxed. Look at you. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:00:21): Look at you. Jason Calacanis (00:00:23): Look at you. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:00:24): But it's only been two days that I'm working. I mean, I'm not that relaxed yet, but this place does put you in the right mood. I gotta say. Jason Calacanis (00:00:30): Alright. Sacks, I'm sure that it's been an uneventful week for you. How are you doing in the great state of California from our headquarters at the All-In Tower in San Francisco? How's the All-In Tower doing? David Sacks (00:00:43): Why are you doxing me? What's going on here? Jason Calacanis (00:00:46): Because you live in San Francisco? Speaker 4 (00:00:47): Everybody knows that. All you have to do is look up the protests. Jason Calacanis (00:00:51): Follow the protests, and you'll find Sacks. Also with us, of course, from the Ohalo headquarters. Is that backdraft? David Friedberg (00:00:58): The house is on fire. Jason Calacanis (00:00:59): The house is on fire. I mean, which house are you referring to? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:01:02): Which house? Which house? America? Yeah. Which one of your Democrats or Biden's house? David Friedberg (00:01:06): There's a political party. I mean, you can interpret it as you wish. Jason Calacanis (00:01:09): Oh, okay. There you go. Your butt is Chamath Palihapitiya (00:01:11): your butt on fire? Did you have some kind of Indian food? Did you hit the taco truck? What? David Friedberg (00:01:17): There's a heat wave from the west right now. Speaker 4 (00:01:20): He stopped at the taco truck. The west is on fire. Jason Calacanis (00:01:23): The west is on fire. Okay. Okay. Doctor Doom. If you wanna come to the All-In Summit, now in year three, we've got a ton of programming updates but the tickets are gonna sell out. We just released another hundred. David Sacks (00:01:37): I'm sorry. You have a fly, like, attacking your head right now. You look like Mike Pence. Jason Calacanis (00:01:42): Jesus, is it a Mike Pence moment? David Sacks (00:01:44): It's a Mike Pence Jason Calacanis (00:01:45): It's a Mike Pence fly. Yeah. David Sacks (00:01:47): It is a Pence moment. Jason Calacanis (00:01:49): Or it could be like, a Biden moment circling the dead. Speaker 4 (00:01:53): Oh gosh. That's too far. David Sacks (00:01:54): That's pretty dark. Speaker 4 (00:01:56): It's pretty dark. Okay. 3, 2. Jason Calacanis (00:02:00): For what your winners ride. Rainman, David Sachs. We open source it to the fans and they've discovered reason. For folks who are interested in meeting the other Luna chicks who listen to this pot, if you have no money and no budget, you can come to 1 of the 50 meetups that are currently happening around the world next week on Thursday, July 11th go to all in podcast.co/meetups, all in podcast. Co slash meetups you can host, or you can join them. It's for $0.00. Now if you're doing well, you got a little extra cheddar and you wanna get together at the All-In Summit, in September. We held back 400 tickets according to Friedberg, who is running the summit now. He's released 100 this week, so get your applications in. And if you are trying to score a ticket or a speaking gig, just don't email me. Email Friedberg. Any updates on the content? People wanna know what's on the docket. David Friedberg (00:03:04): We're definitely gonna be talking about the changing landscape of American politics. We are gonna have some representation there to have that conversation. We're gonna be talking about the future of media. We're gonna be doing some really cool technology dives in areas like robotics, age reversal, eVTOLs, and talking a lot about AI meets enterprise software. So we have a number of, you know, the leading enterprise software CEOs joining us for conversations on that front. So it's shaping up to be really amazing programming. Like Jason said, we held back 400 tickets from the initial batch, and we're gonna release 100 this week. So put an application in. We're trying to be selective. And it's gonna be amazing. The parties are gonna be awesome. Jason Calacanis (00:03:48): Alright. Really David Friedberg (00:03:48): excited how it's coming together. Jason Calacanis (00:03:50): Yeah. You're doing some birds of a feather dinners. I understand this year. Some new concept. Can you explain that to me? David Friedberg (00:03:55): The first night of the summit, we've rented out a bunch of great restaurants around town in LA, and we're putting people together for dinner at all these different restaurants. And then the parties are nights two and three, which are gonna be, you know, unified. Everybody's gonna be great. Jason Calacanis (00:04:09): Everybody comes to the parties, but that first David Friedberg (00:04:11): night comes to the dinners, everything. Yeah. It's gonna be great. So we're trying to create more space for people to meet each other. I know that's been a big thing in the past in the meetups and at the summit is people love meeting other folks in the community. So yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:04:22): Smaller groups. So the dinners will be two hundred people or something like David Friedberg (00:04:25): a couple hundred, depending on the location. Yeah. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:04:27): And then the bigger parties will be, everybody, 1,800 people. So where do people apply for this? David Friedberg (00:04:32): It's at Jason Calacanis (00:04:35): Okay. There you go, folks. And, you can come to the free events or even there. Alright. Just, usually, we when we do the doc and I pursue a mullet docket. I do the business first and the party in the back, but, man, we gotta start with Washington. David Sacks (00:04:47): I've never supported the mullet strategy. Jason Calacanis (00:04:50): I know that. I know that. You've been anti-mullet from the beginning. You want this to be a political show? David Sacks (00:04:54): No. No. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:04:54): No. No. David Sacks (00:04:55): I never saw that vehicle show. Exactly. I always said we start with the biggest, most topical issues first, and it could be business or it could be politics. Correct. You were discriminating against the politics. You were insisting that it'd be a business issue, even if the business issue wasn't relevant, topical, or interesting. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:05:11): Here Speaker 4 (00:05:11): we go. No. I was not. I think you're talking about Friedberg. Friedberg was the one. David Sacks (00:05:16): That's true. It mostly came from Friedberg. Who is right? Who brought the ratings of this pod to a whole new level? Jason Calacanis (00:05:22): Yeah. Friedberg. Who brought the magnitude? David Friedberg (00:05:24): Who felt David Sacks (00:05:24): this thing? Speaker 4 (00:05:25): Me. That's who? David Friedberg (00:05:26): Big one from Robinhood. He is the guy who did it. From. Ask me. Shout out to the left. David Sacks (00:05:32): By the way, I mean, the ratings of this pod hit some sort of new stratospheric level. Not just with President Trump interview, but last week. Jason Calacanis (00:05:40): Whatever. I mean, the point is last week was, I think, the most crazy week in the history of politics, and it's only going to get crazier. So let's start off with hot swap summary. You heard it here first, or maybe not. Hot swap summer continues. You know, previously, historically, if you wanted to understand who's winning an election, you'd look at the polls. Not perfect, obviously. Some of these polls still call landlines, yada yada. But then people built models, obviously, FiveThirtyEight, all this kind of stuff, but it seems that this year and this election cycle, people are really focused on prediction markets, aka betting markets, and we're looking at them in real time. And, obviously, people have skin in the game. So I'm interested in the panel's take on the sharps on these platforms. And if you think that they're more accurate than, say, some of these polls or the aggregators of polls, but Kamala Harris is now the favorite to be the Democratic nominee according to one of them. So just let that soak in. In the last 24 hours, VP Harris's chances of being the Democratic nominee have gone from 18 percent to 50 percent. At the same time, President Biden has dropped from 66 percent to 28 There are a bunch of long shots, new shots in there. Musa, Michelle Obama, Gretchen Whitmer, all in the 8 to 12 percent, but they were low single digits prior to last week's debate. As you can see in the chart, Biden and Harris were about even this morning, the taping of this is Wednesday, July 3rd. But the New York Times reported that Biden told an ally he's considering dropping out. So we should note the White House spokesman said this is absolutely false, but this is the money chart from, I think, Holly market, and we keep updating this document in real time while we're taping. Chances of Biden dropping out are now at 77 percent. Jason Calacanis (00:07:38): That's up from 60 percent this morning. 40 percent after David Friedberg (00:07:42): we record the show, We have to do before we publish to be a whole David Sacks (00:07:46): Well, I don't Chamath Palihapitiya (00:07:46): I I David Sacks (00:07:47): don't think he's gonna do that because he is scheduled to do a sit-down interview with, right, George Stephanopoulos. I think they're recording it on Friday, right, which is today from there. Jason Calacanis (00:07:57): Oh, is that what they're doing? Hold on. David Friedberg (00:07:59): Hold on. David Sacks (00:08:00): He's gonna do an interview with Stephanopoulos on Friday, and then Stephanopoulos is showing it in two parts on Saturday and Sunday. So it's gonna be edited. So we don't know what they're gonna edit in or edit out. At this point, though, the media is in such a feeding frenzy that I don't think that ABC is gonna cover for Biden. So I suspect it'll probably be a pretty fair representation of the actual recorded interview. In any event, that's coming out this weekend. I think that Biden's presidency basically hinges on this interview. If Biden can show that he's sharp and he's responsive and not senile, and presumably, he's gonna sit down and do this at the best hours of the day. Right? They can't make that excuse anymore. Jason Calacanis (00:08:40): So is that before nap time or after nap time? David Sacks (00:08:42): Right. Exactly. So I'm sure he can do this at a time when he has the good stuff. I think if he knocks it out of the park, maybe he can quell all of the speculation. But if not, if it goes poorly, then I think he's done. Jason Calacanis (00:08:55): So this is the last chance again. It's like this is like the third last chance. David Sacks (00:08:59): Yeah. Because think about it. I mean, the accusation is that he's senile. That's not a hard thing to disprove if you're not actually senile. We just need to go in there. Right. It's a pretty low bar. Right? David Friedberg (00:09:13): Not David Sacks (00:09:14): Yeah. So he just needs to go in there and pass the pulse for whatever it is, an hour, and he's not gonna be fed a hard hardball question. Probably pretty softball questions. He just has to prove that he's not senile. If he can do that, it'll calm things down. Jason Calacanis (00:09:28): Stefan novels generally does a a good job. He's not a sick offense. I think he he considers himself a legit journalist and will will actually Well, this is This is through some fastballs, I think. I Chamath Palihapitiya (00:09:40): mean, like, if Stephanopoulos wants to go into the hall of fame, this is his opportunity. If he absolutely throws the high heater to Biden and basically is the one that delivers the coup de grace, then his name will be in history alongside Biden for that race. David Friedberg (00:09:57): You think about it. That's the correct strategy. If you're the Democratic Party leaders, and you are evaluating who to choose to replace Biden, the first thing you do is you have to double down on Biden because if you were neutral to negative on Biden or passive, it's immediately interpreted as he's being swapped out, and then you don't have time to pick the right candidate. In order to have the time to pick the right candidate, you have to first double down on Biden, be really declarative that he's our candidate. Put him on media. Put him on talk shows while you are figuring out who's gonna replace him and what the strategy is to get that person to win. So there's a chance that what's actually going on is a little bit more of a structured strategy around, find the right candidate, set up the right program to get them elected, figure out how we're gonna move the $120 million that we raised from Biden over to whoever this new candidate is. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:10:50): Yeah. You can only move it to Harris. You cannot move it to you cannot move the entire Right. David Friedberg (00:10:56): Entire whole budget with anything. So you've got you've gotta put together a real plan. You can't just do the swap. You've gotta have a plan for the hot swap, which means in the meantime, you gotta buy time. And the best way to tell you the plan is throw Biden forward and be like, hey. Look. This guy's gotta go do the, you're he's still our guy. Jason Calacanis (00:11:10): You're correct that they're buying time, obviously, while they try to figure this out. And the powers that be, which powers that be? The Biden camp, which is not a political machine. It's his literal family, Hunter, Jill, etcetera. What they're actually doing, and this will be the next Nostra Canis prediction that will come true, is they're going to be a I didn't have David Sacks (00:11:30): time to get, Chamath Palihapitiya (00:11:31): like, a Speaker 4 (00:11:31): whole whole Chamath Palihapitiya (00:11:36): All I heard was lick my anus. It's NIS, not Jason Calacanis (00:11:42): So Nostra Canis prediction coming in here. Here's what will happen, Friedberg. David Friedberg (00:11:46): They are calling to do. All caps locks. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:11:48): All caps locks Jason Calacanis (00:11:49): alert must credit, Nostra Canis. They're gonna do a Democratic primary speedrun. Here's what's gonna happen. They're gonna do five debates in ten weeks, and then whoever wins, wins. Kamala, he's gonna resign. Kamala becomes president. Kamala gets to run. She gets to speedrun like everybody else. Dean Phillips gets to come in. Everybody speedruns it. They take over the media. The media will go crazy over the summer. Massive ratings boom. And we have a winner come in, and they demolish Chamath Palihapitiya (00:12:24): Trump. David Sacks (00:12:24): That's not gonna happen. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:12:25): You said he's not gonna get hot swapped as well. David Sacks (00:12:27): Canis took off the rails. Jason Calacanis (00:12:29): You said he wouldn't get hot swapped, so you have no Well, it hasn't happened yet. David Friedberg (00:12:33): If you run a debate, it shows Speaker 4 (00:12:35): it shows that this one's gonna work. David Friedberg (00:12:36): The party needs to select a leader, and they need to say this is our candidate because if they do this, it's too diffuse. It begins whoever ends up winning. Whoever ends up winning is It shrinks the party. Jason Calacanis (00:12:48): It shrinks the party because you say, listen, he decided to resign. We wanted to do the most democratic thing possible. What's the most democratic thing possible? We put all our candidates out there and you, the people, choose. Chamath, tell them I'm right. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:13:01): I think this is one of the dumbest predictions David Friedberg (00:13:03): you've made, and you've made Chamath Palihapitiya (00:13:05): you've made some real doozies in your day. Speaker 4 (00:13:06): The hot swap's gonna... so you didn't call it. David Sacks (00:13:09): The problem with your hot swap theory has always been that not only would Biden step down, but that magically they would choose the best candidate. We would get a Jeff Bezos. We get a Jamie Dimon. Somehow we would get someone who represented all Trump's policies without being Trump. But you would get some magical moderate to merge the Democratic Party. That's not gonna happen. Okay? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:13:29): Okay. David Sacks (00:13:30): Thanks to your incessant demands for the hot swap. Okay. You and many others, and this feeding frenzy. Jason Calacanis (00:13:36): I love it. David Sacks (00:13:37): Yeah. You in part, along with many others, have caused this feeding frenzy. We are gonna get President Kamala Harris. She's the only alternative. You can see this in the prediction markets just a few days ago. It was sort of evenly divided between her, Gavin Newsom, and Gretchen Whitmer. Now it's just her. Why has that happened? Because they realized they can't sidestep Kamala Harris without offending a major constituency in the Democratic Party. Equally important, maybe even more important, they would lose roughly $1 billion of contributions to the Biden-Harris campaign if neither Biden nor Harris is running at the top of the ticket. They'd have to refund all of that money back to the donors who contributed it. There's no way they're gonna start over from zero in terms of fundraising. So they've realized that if Joe steps aside, there is only one feasible candidate for them, which is Kamala Harris. David Friedberg (00:14:28): Let me ask you a question. If Jamie Dimon declared that he would be happy to take on the candidacy for the Democratic Party. He would call his friend Warren Buffett. He would call his friend Jeff Bezos. He would call up his own personal banker and say, we've got half a billion. Let's go. And let's have a run at this. There are certain folks that are outside of the typical political spectrum that might actually have a shot at doing the extraordinary here and stepping up and doing exactly what Trump and others that support Trump don't want to see happen, which is a candidate that can actually challenge Trump on the merits of their experience, on their values, on their capabilities as leaders, as executives, and on their past performance. And I think that someone like that might be the strategists' kind of move to say, this is the one thing we can do that can defeat Trump because we all know from the polling that Harris doesn't stand a shot. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:15:28): We tried that four years ago, and you're missing the history, which is Mike Bloomberg tried that exact same thing, and there was one word that was said to Mike Bloomberg as his candidacy imploded, and it was the word billionaire. So the idea that you're gonna get some other billionaire that all of a sudden is less hated I mean, Mike Bloomberg has done so, so much good, quite honestly. And so if he can't kind of escape the scarlet letter of that of David Friedberg (00:15:51): the B word or anybody else. But Bloomberg but here's why Bloomberg ran against other Democrats. This is a person that is running against another billionaire, which is Trump. And so if you have two people who are now on equal footing and it is the Trump Chamath Palihapitiya (00:16:04): No. We're not. Is he kept Trump? How is this person get to live David Friedberg (00:16:07): on the credit report? I suspect Chamath Palihapitiya (00:16:09): Let them cook. That's go figure. David Friedberg (00:16:11): That's the that's David Sacks (00:16:11): You're operating under the charming delusion that the Democratic Party cares about democracy. This is basically a party that's run by political insiders that hates billionaires and people like this. People like Warren Buffett and Jamie Dimon, they pay the Democrats protection money. Okay? That's how Democrats see them. We're gonna go shake them down to get money from them. They're not gonna hand over the reins of the party. David Friedberg (00:16:36): I don't disagree. To some, Chamath Palihapitiya (00:16:37): I don't David Sacks (00:16:38): disagree. But David Friedberg (00:16:38): let me ask you a question. Jason Calacanis (00:16:39): There are a couple David Friedberg (00:16:40): of dead. Because this is this is what Trump is. Right? So Yes. But he rewrote the rules of the party by running. You're right? No. David Sacks (00:16:47): He shut no. Hold on. He ran and shattered the party. The established power structure. Remember, it was the Bush family's party when Trump first ran. Jeb was supposed to be the nominee. Right? He was supposed to Right. Inherit the mantle from W the way that W inherited from his father. And Trump came in there and appealed directly to Republican primary voters and called the Forever Wars a mistake and said he's gonna build the wall and said that he's gonna reset things with China. Issues that were latent in the Republican Party and he took over the Republican Party the way you're supposed to through democracy, through voting. That opportunity has gone here because our Democratic primaries happened last year and the Biden team ensured that he would basically win the primaries handily. So they control all the delegates. Remember that? Totally. They control the delegates. They're not gonna release them to a Jamie Dimon or some other billionaire who wants to shake up the party. David Friedberg (00:17:41): Let me ask you a question. So if they end up facing the terminal nature of this, which is if we don't put someone in that can win, we lose. We are not going to win. Yeah. It is over. David Sacks (00:17:51): Why do you think that Kamala can't win? Their thinking right now is that she stands a better shot than Biden. David Friedberg (00:17:57): Let's assume that they take a read of the pulse. They take a read of the nation. They actually do a real look at the circumstances on the ground, which is that she is not gonna win. If they looked at that and they said, you know what? We need to win, and some sense comes into the head of the leaders of the Democratic Party, and they say, who can win? And a person like Jamie Dimon polls that he can win. There is a chance, I think, that maybe they say, this is how we're gonna get back to the White House. David Sacks (00:18:24): They're never gonna hand the reins of the party to a total outsider. The Democratic Party is the ultimate insider party, and they are gonna pick insiders. Insiders picking insiders. And I think they've realized over the past week, in particular, that they cannot sidestep around Kamala Harris, both because it would be a slap in the face to her constituency and the money issue. So it's Kamala or bust for them. It's either Kamala or Chamath Palihapitiya (00:18:47): Biden. David Friedberg (00:18:47): It's a really good point. What we'll see is just how rational the Democratic Party leadership is. Are they going to continue to play based on insider first principles, or will they actually take a first principles point of view on how to win the election? And I think it will be very revealing about how the leaders of the Democratic Party think based on the decision they make Jason Calacanis (00:19:10): and their donors too. David Friedberg (00:19:11): Well, I don't know if that's true because I actually think that there's a Jason Calacanis (00:19:13): risk that donors are fleeing the ship, right? David Friedberg (00:19:15): Yeah. There's a rift between the donor class and the Democratic Party leadership. Jason Calacanis (00:19:19): Correct. And I think the donor class doesn't want to lose. David Friedberg (00:19:22): And by the way, Sacks, what you're saying is probably right, but I think it could actually end up being a signal that there might be a change in how the donors end up supporting the next go around, to realize this is a leadership change in the Democratic David Sacks (00:19:35): Look, what the prediction markets are showing is that it's not gonna be a free fall. It's either gonna be Harris or Biden. I mean, that's what the prediction markets are showing, and I think that's fundamentally right. But look, I think there's real danger here to the country in this because what a lot of people are saying, and I guess it makes sense, is that if Biden's not fit to run again, how is he fit to serve out the rest of his term? Jason Calacanis (00:19:58): He's not fit to serve out his term. He's gotta resign. David Sacks (00:20:01): Okay. So if he resigns, and that's probably the thing that helps Harris the most, right, because now she gets sworn in as commander in chief. She's the president of the United States. It's like Jason Calacanis (00:20:11): a major president. Yeah. It's a big It's David Sacks (00:20:12): a major glow up for her and an imbuing with all of this gravitas and credibility that she's now the president of the United States. They can send her to G7 meetings and deal with other world leaders. They've got four months to basically take this candidate who everyone thought wasn't ready. Remember, a year ago during the primaries, when Biden ran again, one of the reasons why is because everyone said that Kamala's not ready, you know, every interview she does is basically a cackle or a word salad. In any event, no one thought she was ready. Now they have, like, basically made her seem much more significant by giving her the presidency. But my point is this, we're in the middle of a war. We're in the middle of a war with Russia just, a week or two ago. Jason Calacanis (00:20:58): We are. David Sacks (00:20:59): Russian Jason Calacanis (00:20:59): that we're in the war, or we're providing weapons? David Sacks (00:21:02): Both a week or two ago, American cluster bombs were used to kill Russian civilians sunbathing on the beach in Crimea. Okay? Our weapons are targeting, killing Russian civilians. The Russians in response to that said we are no longer in the state of peace with the United States. They did not say we're in the state of war, but they said we're no longer in the state of peace. And the Russians have indicated that they may escalate horizontally by giving advanced weapons to our enemies. For example, they've talked about giving cruise missiles to the Houthis. Okay? So all of this is happening right now in real time on the world stage, and you're gonna remove Biden. Who, look, I don't like Biden's policies. And I don't think he's competent for more than a few hours a day, but I would still rather have Biden as commander in chief for the next six months, then take the risk of putting Harris in there, who's inexperienced, who's a lightweight, and who might wanna prove how tough she is. Jason Calacanis (00:22:03): Let's get Chamath in for the final word here, Chamath, your thoughts on what's gonna happen, make your prediction between now and September. What do you think is the mid game here before we get to the end game? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:22:14): I honestly don't know, but I think that we're in a precarious place where things are gonna get worse. Biden actually approved private contractors now going into Ukraine and starting to fight. Americans will be on the battlefield as of I think this was just a few days ago. If you remember the movie, Wag the Dog, I think that it starts to create all these weird scenarios where people will want to create major distractions to try to keep the evidence and the attention away from this core issue that after the debate everybody is focused on. And I think the reality is that if you were accused, if any of you were accused, of being mentally incapacitated, what you would probably do is go on every single talk show, go on every single news show, go on every single podcast. Conference, you would just do so much public facing work so as to completely dispel this idea so that you could firmly say it was a cold. Although now this week, it's jet lag. It was it was jet lag. Speaker 4 (00:23:19): To be Jason Calacanis (00:23:19): able to wrap the time of day. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:23:22): Whatever it was, you'd be able to just completely take the wind out of the sails. I think we're still getting only a controlled dribble of information and access to the president of the United States. So he's gonna be on Stephanopoulos. He's going to show up for a NATO meeting. And so you're only seeing dribs and drabs of somebody who now a lot of people think is not in a position, not just to run, but let alone run the country. Jason Calacanis (00:23:48): You said last week, the Democratic Party will have a meaningful reset, still thinking that you might? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:23:54): The issue that the Democrats will have to face is the person that they probably want to run is someone different than Kamala Harris. And the problem that they're gonna have to confront is there's a part of it which is fundraising, and I do think that David's right. There was an article in the FT where one of the op-ed writers said they're in this sort of identity politics trap in sorts because they will have to run her no matter what. And even if somebody did show up with the financial wherewithal. And I think Friedberg actually brings up a really interesting thought experiment. If there was somebody that could take the Democratic mantle who could completely self-fund their campaign, but he happened to be just a white man. What would the Democrats do relative to Kamala Harris, and I think that they would be in knots around what to do. Jason Calacanis (00:24:40): Because of the identity politics issue, Chamath Palihapitiya (00:24:42): I think they have made it an important issue. This idea of inclusiveness as they've defined it. Jason Calacanis (00:24:47): Got it. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:24:48): So it sets up for, I think, a very complicated summer. Yeah. The other thing you have to keep in mind is how the Electoral College works and how the ballot system works is that you don't have infinite time. You have to get all of this wrapped up and synced up by the middle of August at the latest. And so we're very much on like a four- or six-week shot clock, and I don't think the Democrats are doing what they need to do in order to completely take the wind out of the sails of this narrative that Biden is not prepared or capable. And the only way that you can do that is by having him appear 24/7 in real time in front of hundreds of millions of people as often as possible. And they're Jason Calacanis (00:25:29): just not doing it. So since they're not doing it, they have ample time to do it. He's yeah. He's he's obviously and by the way, the other Chamath Palihapitiya (00:25:35): the other problem that it creates is that you're starting to see some of these fissures inside of the team. There is a really charged article from Axios that dropped which basically said that there are three people that have cordoned off access to the president. It named Yeah. That was Jill Biden and Thomasini and some other person. And my initial thought when I read this was other than Jill Biden, who's a recognizable person. I had no idea who these other two people were. And I thought, that's really precise for somebody like that who has inside access to all of these sort of insiders to put that article out. So I think you're starting to see the sort of leaks and the fissures. Yeah. And then that's sort of this next phase that will make things a little bit ugly and contorted Jason Calacanis (00:26:16): as well. Just one question here. We got we had to move on to the Supreme Court stuff. Sacks, two-part question. One, is there a chance that he has had a diagnosis already and they're covering that up. And, two, if they covered up something like that, what is the ramification of it? Because it's clear to everybody he's in cognitive decline. Clear it's been Chamath Palihapitiya (00:26:39): a couple of years of cognitive decline. No. No. No. That was asked of KJP in a press conference yesterday. She was very explicit. No. And the reason Jason Calacanis (00:26:47): No. That she doesn't know. She doesn't know. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:26:50): No. No. No. The answer was much more explicit. Has he been diagnosed? And she said no. And the reason she said no is because that is very credible for her to say because he hasn't taken the test. Jason Calacanis (00:27:00): Okay. So that you're there. David Sacks (00:27:01): Look. It was obvious now for months, if not years, that there's been a huge cover-up of his cognitive decline. And the media has participated in this. Anyone who raised that question was treated as being a partisan or a liar. And just for a good example of this, I know you described George Stephanopoulos as a straight shooter, but when Nikki Haley was on his show a few months ago, and I'm not a fan of Nikki Haley at all, but she started making this point and Stephanopoulos basically wouldn't let her finish. I mean, basically shouted her down. So the media was actively suppressing the story. You take Morning Joe, Scarborough. He was saying that this version of Biden is the best he's ever been, and we've been hearing all of that kind of stuff for months. They were describing true videos showing Biden being out of it. They were describing those as being fakes, clean fakes. They invented this new term, for perfectly real videos that basically would reflect his condition. So the media has been engaged in a gigantic cover-up of this. And as a result, the country is in really bad shape because we have to go through the next six months either with a senile president who has limited cognition or we could end up with a new president who was untested, inexperienced, and based on every interview she's given in the last four years, appears to be completely clueless at a moment in time where I think we have the most dangerous foreign policy situation since the Cuban Missile Crisis. Jason Calacanis (00:28:25): Okay. So do you think it's gonna be This David Sacks (00:28:27): is a really horrible situation. And hold on. It's it's the media bears a lot of responsibility and what should've happened, okay, what should've happened is we should've had a robust Democratic primary a year ago. Jason Calacanis (00:28:39): Sure. David Sacks (00:28:40): They saw concerns about Biden's cognitive abilities reported by an honest media. We never had that. Jason Calacanis (00:28:46): Yeah. So, did you Chamath Palihapitiya (00:28:47): guys see this clip, by the way? There's a clip on Twitter. Where somebody put together a clip on the next six minutes of a hundred sort of spokespeople and proxies. And they all had the same thing to say about President Biden, which is he is sharp as a David Sacks (00:29:03): Sharp as Chamath Palihapitiya (00:29:04): it's all good. Sharp as a Speaker 4 (00:29:06): which had to attack the round part. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:29:07): What was so funny to me is I thought to myself, if I asked a hundred people on the street, what do you think of Elon Musk? You'd have a hundred different statements. There'd be a general theme, but you would not have even fifty people repeat the exact same Jason Calacanis (00:29:22): points, obviously. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:29:23): And so you have this funny situation where a hundred different people were basically saying the exact same talking point. So it's not even a point of view. It was just something that they were told to say by somebody else. And that's your point. Both sides. Sacks is the real issue, which is that you don't really have an honest media here. And so there is no check and balance on power right now. David Sacks (00:29:42): Imagine if this feeding frenzy happened a year ago. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:29:45): Well, the contrast and comparison I wanna make is everybody has a point of view about Donald Trump, and I was thinking about this. The reason why everybody has a point of view about Donald Trump is everything that has happened in his life is completely transparently documented. There really is nothing hidden at this point. And so you have a point of view because you've been given all of the stuff. Right? And there's endless amounts of new stuff that come out about the old stuff, and so you know. And that's what's so interesting. You have the ability to come to your own decision and it's not packaged through these filters. Yet with President Biden, I think it's so constrained and controlled. And I think you have to understand and appreciate that cognitive decline. Let's assume that he isn't for the sake of the United States, but if he is in it, it only gets worse from here, and it compounds and compounds and compounds. That is what happens. And so not only do you have to wonder what the next five months are like, what does it look like in 18, 24, 36 months? That is a really important issue here. David Sacks (00:30:48): Clearly Biden can't serve a second term. But the question is what do we do now? And I gotta say it's amazing to me that the Democrats aren't considering the one option that is kinda obvious, which is you let the man run the most dignified campaign he can. He's the candidate you chose. Jason Calacanis (00:31:07): And oh, he is back. Here he Chamath Palihapitiya (00:31:09): is. No. David Sacks (00:31:09): This is not satire. This is not satire, Sacks. The real problem here is the Democrats refuse to lose. They want to cling to power however they can. They refuse to let democracy just work. Jason Calacanis (00:31:21): Democracy working would be to do the speed runs. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:31:24): I have a what would you do with the money? Would you just not spend it then and just save it? David Sacks (00:31:28): Well, this is really interesting. So there is an analog. Okay. In 1996, Bob Dole was the Republican candidate for president. And quite frankly, he was too old. He was seen as a relic. Clinton was fairly popular. And it was pretty obvious that he was just a loser and he was going to lose. Did the Republicans engage in shenanigans to try and fix the situation? No. They just accepted the inevitable that Dole was gonna lose. And what they did is they pulled financing from his campaign, at least in the final month, and they redistributed it to House and Senate candidates. And, actually, they did better in the House and Senate. They held onto the House and Senate. I think they lost a few seats, but way less than they were expecting to. And they kinda ran on a campaign that, you know, you can't trust Slick Willie. So keep us on, split the ticket, and keep us on as a check against him. And it actually worked fairly well. It was the best Republicans could do. But frankly, they let Bob Dole run a dignified campaign. My advice to the Democrats would be don't don't have Biden resign doing a shakeup Jason Calacanis (00:32:29): Right now. Listen to Sacks. There's your political counseling. You're a you're a Democratic Party. David Sacks (00:32:35): Right now, when you put an untested, inexperienced, clueless president in there, she's gonna wanna show how tough she is and bring her own team. Jason Calacanis (00:32:42): No. No. Nobody knows Kamala. David Sacks (00:32:43): Of this dangerous situation. Let Biden run a dignified campaign and lose. David Friedberg (00:32:48): My advice to the Democrats is to embrace an outsider, give the people what they want, freedom of choice, freedom to elect a leader, and bring someone in that falls outside of the traditional political spectrum that does not wanna hold public office because it's not their career. Can bring money to the table, they can bring credibility to the table, and they can win votes and compete effectively against Trump. If your goal is to retain the White House, Kamala. Give us 2 minutes. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:33:18): Give us 2 David Friedberg (00:33:18): Jamie Dimon. Jamie Dimon. Bob Iger. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:33:21): Give us a second. Bob Iger. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:33:24): It's a great one. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:33:24): He's a great Jason Calacanis (00:33:28): one. Yeah. David Sacks (00:33:28): It's called wishcasting. You're doing wishcasting. David Friedberg (00:33:31): Sacks, I'm not speaking about realism. I'm speaking about what it would take to win. If they actually want to start winning, someone that could win a popular vote, someone that could actually win votes away from Trump because you can't introduce someone like Whitmer or Moore this late in the season when no one in the United States knows who the heck this person is. When you have someone with credibility, with economic and business success, with executive authority, with capital and connections into the Democratic Party, but isn't part of the establishment that you and many others in the Democratic Party are now starting to hate. Let's go have an opportunity to actually win. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:34:05): Yes. David Friedberg (00:34:05): And if they were smart and they got their act together, they would say, you know what? It's time for a change, just like the Republicans had to do when Trump stepped into the race. Jason Calacanis (00:34:11): Use the Republican playbook. Brilliant. Brilliant. David Sacks (00:34:15): Okay. Well, you guys better have a magic lamp with a genie in it because that's the only way this is gonna happen. Jason Calacanis (00:34:20): Well, listen. It's David Friedberg (00:34:21): I'm just trying to keep the show focused. Okay. Okay. Jason Calacanis (00:34:23): Here we go. Next topic. Here we go. Friedberg gets the final word. Here we go. I'm giving Friedberg the final word. He had the best take. I'm giving Friedberg the final word. David Friedberg (00:34:33): Oh, you're pulling your McNeil. Absolutely. Yeah. Okay. Jason Calacanis (00:34:37): Here we go. There were seven rulings and a bunch of SCOTUS activity over the last week. But these are really important consequential decisions. We are gonna talk about three of them, and I'm gonna try to get through this quickly. Obviously, you could talk about these for hours, and people will be, you know, doing case studies on them for a long time. But let me try to do this quickly so we can get everybody's take on them. The first one I wanna talk about is NetChoice. This is the content moderation cases that you may have heard of. There were two very controversial laws in Florida and Texas in 2021 in the wake of January 6th. The Florida law, if you weren't aware of it, and I don't suspect most people are, would cover platforms with over 100 million monthly active users or $100 million in annual revenue. In other words, they're targeting X, YouTube, Facebook, Meta, those kinds of sites. And they would require those platforms to notify users if their posts are removed or altered. And the platforms would have to make general disclosures about their operations. The Texas law, which was very similar for platforms over 50 million monthly active users, would require them to notify users when posts were removed and provide an explanation of why, all that kind of stuff. Both of these laws were challenged in court in 2021, just to give you an idea, like, why I think the conservatives were upset about this. Obviously, Trump being suspended indefinitely on Twitter, Facebook, and other platforms, or the labeling of content, like we've seen on our own channel and YouTube. is a tech industry group that includes Facebook and YouTube and the parent companies of those. And they sued to block these two laws. Justice Kagan, a liberal, wrote the unanimous decision. Obviously, no dissensions here. And the majority held that editorial judgment and the creation of other people's speech is a unique expressive product of its own, which entitles it to First Amendment protection. So just to give you an example, if you wanted to create a social network, we can't be anonymous like LinkedIn. Jason Calacanis (00:36:31): You can do that if you want to do something like Twitter and have anonymous accounts, you can do that as well. If you want to create a social network with adult content, you can do it. Or like Zuck is doing on Threads, interestingly, they are downplaying political content. Obviously, other platforms amplify political content. So let me, and so the end of all this in terms of how the court handled it is, they offered some guidance and sent the cases back to the lower courts to clarify a bunch of stuff just to keep this brief. Chamath, what are your thoughts on this? Obviously, some of the ideas here, like letting users know why they were banned or why content was taken down. I think the overwhelming majority of users would like to have that, but is this the government's role? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:37:15): I'm not enough of a legal scholar to know the details of this case, except to say that when the entire court goes in one direction, it's probably because this never should have been brought to the court in the first place, and they're giving a very clear message. It wasn't even ideologically strained to figure out what the right answer should be. So Jason Calacanis (00:37:36): Sacks, obviously, your chosen party was the one who brought this, you have concerns about the platforms doing this, but do you have equal concerns about the government then, I guess, being the ones who have to enforce these, is this a good ruling. David Sacks (00:37:51): Well, I think that with respect to the Texas and Florida laws, I think their heart was in the right place. They were motivated by the right things, which was to reduce censorship on the social media platforms, specifically censorship of conservatives, which is to say they're citizens. But those laws probably were overly broad, and they infringed on the free speech of corporations. Because I guess corporations get free speech too. And, basically, what the ruling says is that content moderation receives the same First Amendment protections as any other kind of speech. So the decisions of what content you're gonna keep up or take down on your own property is itself a speech decision, and the government has to respect that. So that's what the ruling here was saying. I think it's not a bad decision. I wish the Supreme Court, however, had coupled this with a better decision in the Missouri versus Biden case, which they basically said that the plaintiffs lacked standing to pursue. So they didn't necessarily give a dispositive ruling in that case, but they threw it out. And yeah. And, basically, what that case was about was the Biden administration was engaged in attempts to influence or pressure social media companies to take down speech. It's a practice known as jawboning. And I wish they had coupled this decision with a better decision than in Missouri versus Biden saying the government's not allowed to coerce social networks to take down speech either, and they refused to do that. So I wouldn't say these are, like, the greatest set of decisions with regard to free speech that the court's ever done. I hope that they will come back in the future once they find a plaintiff with the right standing to address that issue. Jason Calacanis (00:39:33): Yeah. That's a key issue. Friedberg with us. David Friedberg (00:39:36): Yeah. So I've said for a long time, we've obviously had conversations about Twitter and shadow banning and some of the other activities on what are typically called social media platforms. At the end of the day, these are all, as I've shared in the past, my belief is they're all content companies. They have a choice as executives and as editors of those companies to decide how to editorialize the content on their platforms. They can choose to create content with writers that they pay on staff, like a newspaper might. They can choose to create content with actors and directors that they pay to create novel video series for them, like HBO might. Or they can choose to make content creation available to third parties that don't get paid content, and how they choose to display that content is up to them as an editorial platform that is ultimately creating content for other consumers. I don't view that user-generated content platforms are a right of the consumers to have access to share their thoughts. They have the internet to do that, and they have many other places that they can go to create blogs, to create websites, to do whatever else they wanna do to express themselves. But to have a technological platform that lets them submit content, that then the editors get to decide how and where they show that content, I think they should understand because it's in the terms and conditions when you sign up. So I don't believe in social media platforms as utilities, and I don't think that the government should have any role in deciding what is or isn't on those platforms. This goes both ways. I think that the company should decide what kind of platforms they want to have, whether they want to have free speech that allows inappropriate content or content that might be offensive, or whether they want to have a highly moderated platform to make it more broadly available or appealing to users. It's entirely up to them. And I really do appreciate the ruling because I think that the government should have less of a role in intervening and deciding how media companies create content and how they editorialize that content. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:41:29): So I think that's well said. And I was in the same sort of camp as Friedberg, which is there's like a battle of snowflakes here. Like, the liberals obviously were canceling people on these platforms. And now, the MAGA folks want to come in and have the government regulate it. If you want to compete here, just create a new product or service in the market. You're on the board of Rumble, Sacks, like they're doing really well. And if you squeeze too tight and your platform doesn't work, the marketplace should, you know, figure out who the winners are. And, you know, it's not a situation where you want the government getting in there because then they're gonna go to a newspaper, and there's so much precedent here. I, you know, I actually read some of these rulings, which is really interesting. They're written phenomenally well. I will put in the show notes the actual links to the PDFs of these decisions. They're well worth reading. And in this case, they brought up a bunch of the previous law. It was fascinating. Like, people wanted to force a newspaper to allow, you know, one candidate to reply and give him space. They were like, no, you can't do that. It's their newspaper. They decide what they publish. Another person wanted to have a corporate newsletter be forced to give information about the other side. You just don't get to do that. David Friedberg (00:42:39): I'll just say one more thing. What else is striking is just how insular and protectionist Texas and Florida are being, and it's not just with this law. It's also with the lab-grown meat, cultivated meat laws that they've passed, and other states are passing similar laws, which is limiting innovation in the state and limiting freedom to operate in the state in order to protect the interests of individuals and corporations that already exist within that state. So it's really important to note this isn't a good or a bad thing, but those states are operating in a way. The lawmakers of those states are operating in a way that's trying to protect the interests of the individuals and businesses in the state over the freedoms that might, and the liberties that might otherwise be available. And I think we often talk about these states being more free, but these laws and the cultivated meat ban laws, in my opinion, indicate that these states are actually on the contrary. They're much more kind of protectionist. What's your take Jason Calacanis (00:43:27): on that, Sacks? David Sacks (00:43:28): To Friedberg's point, I mean, I think this ruling might have been necessary from a constitutional standpoint because corporations do have free speech rights. But again, I would say that I think that the laws of Texas and Florida were coming from a good place, which is they were trying to protect the rights of their citizens to engage in free speech. I think it's just unfortunate that in this case, it's a zero-sum game. And as a result, those laws were invalidated. I think that makes sense, but I still think we have a problem. Jason Calacanis (00:43:55): I agree with you. The platforms have too much power. What is your proposed solution? You obviously don't wanna have the government in there, like running a newsroom or running Twitter X, because you yourself were saying, hey, the government's too involved in X and these platforms and doing this jawboning. So obviously having them more involved is bad. Right? You're against them being involved. David Sacks (00:44:15): Yeah. I think it's really tricky to figure out how to solve this. David Friedberg (00:44:17): Got it. David Sacks (00:44:18): I think for one thing, you don't want the government jawboning sites to take down content. That clearly should be a free speech violation. I'm just pointing out the court didn't get to that. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:44:26): I think we're totally missing the bigger picture. There's a lot of fearmongering that I think has happened with respect to the Supreme Court and that it's all of a sudden become some super ideological, super rigid, super activist place. And I think it's in fact much of the opposite, and the data supports that. And so I think it's important for people to know that what's actually happening is that many of these decisions—like I'm pulling this up, and I just want to read some of these things to you. U.S. versus Rahimi, which is a federal law that prohibits people subjected to domestic violence restraining orders from having a firearm. That was an 8-1 decision where all but Thomas supported them. Makes a lot of sense you would think. Racial gerrymandering, that was more ideological where it was a conservative block versus Sotomayor, Breyer, and Kagan. Trump v. Anderson, which is Trump getting back on the Colorado ballot, 9-0. FDA versus the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine, which was access to the abortion pill, 9-0 maintaining access. Moil versus US, which is whether Idaho's strict abortion law conflicts with the federal law, non-ideological, where it was Gorsuch, Alito, Thomas, and Ketanji Brown Jackson who dissented. So it goes on and on, and I think what's interesting about all of this is that I had thought that this was not like what it was. What I thought what had happened is Trump's track the Supreme Court. All of a sudden, we are ripping all these laws apart. This long-standing sort of doctrine of what has passed. But yet, I think what's actually happening is people are pretty thoughtfully pushing the responsibility to the states, and I think that the court's decisions are relatively unpredictable in the sense that it's not just a conservative versus the liberal block. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:46:31): I think that's the real story. And when you unpack a bunch of these decisions in that context, that's what's so interesting to me. It's like these are pretty nuanced decisions that get at the heart of a lot of key important issues happening across non-ideological lines. January 6, 1 can Ketanji Brown Jackson. It was the Biden appointee that basically supported this thing that may throw out 200-plus convictions for January 6. And Amy Coney Barrett was on the other side. It's an unpredictable Supreme Court. I think they think for themselves, they seem to be independent, and I think they are coming to their own conclusions. That's the only thing to take away from the distribution of the votes. That should make people feel a little bit better. Jason Calacanis (00:47:06): So I think this next ruling is the most important one, and I think it'll be the most important one that we've seen with this new court that has three of the nine justices placed by Trump. To your point, Chamath. And this one is Seismon. The Looper versus Raymond decision overturned Chevron. Okay. So this one takes a little explaining. The court overruled a landmark 1984 decision in the Chevron case from 40 years ago. For context, the original ruling created the Chevron doctrine where the government and federal courts generally defer to the stances of federal agencies unless Congress has written specific laws on an issue. The 1984 ruling upheld the EPA's interpretation of the Clean Air Act. It's very influential. This has been cited by federal courts over 18,000 times in 40 years. It was overruled in another 6-3 decision where the justices voted along party lines. Basically, this shifts power back to federal judges in court instead of administrative agents staffed by experts, academics, all that kind of stuff. In the majority opinion, Roberts, conservative obviously, said the Chevron doctrine violates the Administrative Procedures Act, a federal law that directs the courts to review actions taken by federal agencies. He also pointed out courts are regularly expected to deal with technical questions, so this should not be considered beyond their ability to scope. Kagan, a liberal, wrote a critical dissent, said the agency staff with scientists and experts are more likely to have the expertise to make these decisions rather than the judges. She also pointed out that the system had been functioning for 40 years and this ruling will create a massive, quote, jolt to the legal system. Chamath, get in there. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:48:42): Do you remember when President Biden tried to pass the budget two years ago, and he was one vote short? And Joe Manchin ended up putting it over the top, but he negotiated what was a redo of a bunch of regulations. And he was promised that there would be this regulatory overhaul that happened, and that was sort of why he had decided to vote for that budget bill. It ended up not happening. So the reason why I think he saw that and he discussed this is that there are so many businesses that now suffer from the regulations of these agencies because when the agency enacted that regulation, it was just a different time and place. And there was no clean way to go back to an independent body and say, I understand what your intention was in 1985 when you wrote that regulation, but in 2024, things have changed. Can we reconsider? And basically, what the courts have done now will allow companies who believe that regulations are either overwrought or misguided for today's market landscape to bring it to an independent judiciary and have them decide. And I think that that's a very reasonable check and balance. And I think that makes a lot of sense. Folks can pass laws, and if folks believe that those laws do undue harm, now you have a mechanism to go and actually explain your case to somebody independent who can then make a judgment. I think that that's a good check and balance. Jason Calacanis (00:50:16): Friedberg, I knew this was the one you most want to talk about, what's your take on this end of the age of experts and throwing things back to the court? What will be the practical ramifications for this? David Friedberg (00:50:28): How much experience you guys have had dealing with federal regulators? And I, yeah, I've worked in a lot across a number of federal agencies in, in businesses I've been involved in. And I can tell you it is as I'm sure you would expect, there's a lot of bureaucratic morass in, in these agencies. And if you think about it, it's because the agencies are effectively under the Chevron doctrine, vested unlimited authority to create rules and regulations that they then determine are meant to represent the laws that were passed by Congress, but more often than not, those rules and regulations begin to bleed outside of the lines of the intention of the laws when they were passed. And this is because those agencies by creating new rules and regulations. This isn't this isn't some like, you know, I have a subversive reason for doing this, but these agencies have an incentive for creating more rules and regulations because they then get to go back to Congress and ask for more budget and hire more people. And grow the importance and the scale of their agency. This is the natural kind of organic growth that arises in any living system, and any organization of individuals is also a living system and has the same incentive. It wants to have more resources. It wants to get bigger. It wants to do more stuff. It wants to be more important. And the Chevron doctrine has allowed agencies to operate independent and outside of the lines that were defined in the laws that were passed that then vested them this authority, that then they can go and say, I want more budget. I want to get bigger. And I'm optimistic that this ruling will limit the agency's authorities and limit their ability to create more bureaucratic overhead, more headcount, more individuals that need to now go and administer the rules and regulations that they themselves create. And so I'm actually very optimistic and hopeful about this change. Now the downside, the negative to this, is that there are a number of really important regulatory roles that agencies have come to play that never got passed as bills, like environmental protection rules. David Friedberg (00:52:43): And there's a negative consequence that will arise to some degree with respect to health of the environment, health of people, etc. But I think net net, Congress needs to do its job. It needs to go back to session, and it needs to sit down. It needs to pass laws that really clearly define what is and what isn't going to be legal going forward. And then the agencies operate strictly within those bounds. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:53:04): So So Jason Calacanis (00:53:05): to recap, it could get a little messy, but it's a better, healthier system because this system has become super bloated over 40 years. That was my take on it as well. Sacks, what's your take on this? This feels like a huge win to me. What do you David Sacks (00:53:19): Well, I agree with that, and I agree with what Friedberg said. Look, when this decision, the Chevron decision, came down in 1984, at the height of the Reagan Revolution, conservatives actually liked it. They praised it because we were coming off a period of an activist court, you know, the Warren Court, and they thought that shifting power from the courts to the agencies would actually be a good move. Well, it turns out it completely backfired. When Chevron came out, it was not a widely known decision. Since then, it has been cited 18,000 times by federal courts and has turned out to be enormously important and influential. And the reason for all those citations is it's the courts deferring to the rulemaking of an agency. You know, what Chevron basically says is as long as the agency's interpretation is reasonable, or you could say not unreasonable, then the agency can basically promulgate the rule. And what this has led to is an orgy of rulemaking by all these federal agencies. And so most of our laws now effectively are being made by unelected bureaucrats who are part of these three-letter alphabet super government agencies. It's not the Congress. It's not the court. It's not the president. It's this fourth branch of government that's not in the Constitution, which is the administrative state. And so the administrative state has become incredibly powerful as a result of Chevron doctrine. And now I think by reversing it, you actually give a chance for the restoration of democracy. Basically, the agencies are not empowered to essentially make whatever rules they want as long as they superficially appear reasonable, they actually have to show that their rules are within a statute that they were directed by Congress to effectively engage in the rulemaking. So this is a step in the right direction for sure. But again, the real problem here is reining in this unelected administrative state. Jason Calacanis (00:55:06): Yeah. Chamath, any final thoughts here as we move on to the next one? Chamath Palihapitiya (00:55:11): Seems like the Supreme Court is doing a great job. David Sacks (00:55:14): I agree. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:55:15): All nine of them. I mean, they really seem to be doing a tremendous job. I give them a lot of credit. David Friedberg (00:55:23): I feel like I've become a conservative. Maybe I'm a conservative now, Sacks. I don't know. I may have to sit down and confess to you. Because I read a number of these decisions, and I was like, I agree. I agree. And this is supposed to be a conservative court, so I'm not sure. David Sacks (00:55:35): Well, sorry. I mean that Chamath Palihapitiya (00:55:37): it's not an originalist court. It's not a conservative court. This is what I'm saying. Like, these are words that are planted by people that want you to believe their version of the lie. David Friedberg (00:55:46): So Chamath Palihapitiya (00:55:47): there are a lot of originalists on the court. And what the originalist doctrine says, and Sacks, you can correct me, is I read the Constitution with faith and fidelity, and I just see what it says. Not I interpret it, not I fill in the words. I just what it says is what we're allowed. And I think that there's some there's a really good version of America in that view of the world. David Sacks (00:56:10): Yeah. I mean, I would say it's not even initially an originalist or conservative court. It's a 3-3-3 court, meaning there's 3 conservatives, there's 3 liberals, and there's 3 justices in the middle. You have this middle block led by the Chief Justice Roberts with Kavanaugh and Barrett, and then you got the conservatives with Gorsuch and Thomas and Alito. And sometimes the middle block goes with the liberals, sometimes it goes with the conservatives. Again, it's more of like a triangle. And as we know, the triangle is the best shape for equipoise. Right, because it creates balance. And I think what we have right now is a balanced court. And I think on the whole, they've done a good job. And I think it's kinda sad that in reaction to some of these decisions, you've got powerful Chamath Palihapitiya (00:56:49): lawmakers like Elizabeth Warren who are explicitly calling for packing the court. They're actually saying, you know, put a David Sacks (00:56:49): bunch of justices on here to ruin this equipoise that we have. I think it's really sad. I think that the court right now is one of the last highly functional institutions in American public life and for elected leaders to be calling for its destruction is just sad. Jason Calacanis (00:57:11): Well, I, you know, I think what here and here's an image from Axios showing, you know, six Republican-nominated and three Democrat-nominated. I think to give the counterargument, you know, Roe v. Wade being overturned was something the majority of the country didn't want. These three people were added for that explicit purpose by Trump. People have trauma, pain over that reasonably, I think. And then the truth is, though, if they are, you know, just one standard deviation here, as you can see in this Axios chart, which is based on some data David Friedberg (00:57:46): I don't I don't trust the charges. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:57:47): I think this this chart is worth what it's, Jason. I think you Well, David Friedberg (00:57:50): let me explain to you as Chamath Palihapitiya (00:57:51): actual articles. No. But what I'm saying no. No. Look at Jason Calacanis (00:57:53): the actual argument that I'm saying I'll Chamath Palihapitiya (00:57:54): be good. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (00:57:55): Yeah. If you Yeah. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:57:56): It's it's just my point is, this is meaningless. A child could have drawn this. It means nothing. Jason Calacanis (00:57:59): No. No. A child didn't draw it, Chamath. This was How do you know? Was that reading? Because I'm reading the source as I'm reading the source of the data. This is based on something called the Martin-Quinn score, an analysis by political scientists Andrew Martin, Chamath Palihapitiya (00:58:09): Kevin Quinn, known as Jason Calacanis (00:58:09): the Martin-Quinn score places judges on an ideological spectrum, a lower score indicates a more liberal justice, where a higher score indicates a more conservative justice. And then they went through all of their decisions. So you're saying Chamath Palihapitiya (00:58:26): the subjective classifier, the subjective classifier was created by Speaker 4 (00:58:26): these two random Chamath Palihapitiya (00:58:28): people, and you're now regurgitating the score like it means something? Jason Calacanis (00:58:34): No. I think it's an interesting way. It's an interesting chart to discuss to understand a little bit of their leanings. Chamath Palihapitiya (00:58:40): What I would encourage anybody to do is to look at Jason Calacanis (00:58:42): the actual substance of the Chamath Palihapitiya (00:58:45): decisions and the votes, and what you will see is that people are not as easily predictable as that chart would show. And I think that's what's important. Jason Calacanis (00:58:55): Okay. I think that chart supports exactly what you just said, Sacks. Right? Yeah. David Sacks (00:59:04): I mean, not exactly. I mean, again, I view it as a 3-3-3 court. A lot of other people have written about that, and they've got their own diagrams and charts to show. Look, I think it's a court, like I said, in equipoise. I don't think it's partisan. I think it's being reasonably fair. I don't agree with every single ruling. Like I said, I would have liked to see a different result in Biden v. Missouri. However, I think on the whole, they're doing a good job, and it really should be a scandal that you've got powerful lawmakers explicitly calling for the court to be packed. I mean, that would be a disaster, right, because you have nine justices, which is a good number. You try to increase that to 13, then the next time the Republicans have control, they're gonna increase it to 15 or 21 or whatever. And pretty soon we're gonna have a hundred justices on the court, you'll ruin it. You know, really, nine justices should be a constitutional requirement. We should just fix it at nine and not mess with that. So it's just scandalous to me that you've got politicians who are reacting to reasonable decisions by saying that we need to pack the court. Jason Calacanis (01:00:03): Okay. Quick hit here. This is an important story for you, Chamath. SCOTUS also agreed to hear a case on the limits of online porn in its next term, which starts in October. The law in question was passed. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:00:13): Will it impact incognito mode? Cause if it does, you're in trouble. Speaker 4 (01:00:21): Alright. It's just I think there's a re I do clearly, or are you Chamath Palihapitiya (01:00:27): Could you imagine if they banned incognito mode? David Friedberg (01:00:30): I think you might wanna Speaker 4 (01:00:32): do a deep dive into how incognito incognito mode is. You may wanna get a VPN. I'm pretty sure Texas is gonna Chamath Palihapitiya (01:00:39): ban incognito mode. Exactly. Texas and Florida. I think a couple of these sites because of the Jason Calacanis (01:00:46): threat of, you know, these laws of age gating, they've just decided to wholesale leave certain states by IP address. Therefore, the sale of VPNs in Texas went up because when you went to certain porn sites, they said, Hey. Because Texas is proposing these laws, we're not gonna allow you to visit this website. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:01:06): Nick, do the NBC thing. The more you know, Jason Calacanis (01:01:09): the more you know. Okay. SCOTUS agreed to hear a case on the limit of online porn in its next term, Chamath Palihapitiya (01:01:15): which starts in October. The law in question was passed by the Texas legislature Jason Calacanis (01:01:15): in 2023. It requires porn sites to verify the age of their users and restrict access for minors. It seems reasonable. 5th Circuit Court in New Orleans upheld the law, sending it to the Supreme Court. If upheld, users would have to submit personal info that verifies their own age to watch porn. The law is opposed by the ACLU and the Free Speech Coalition, which is a trade group representing adult entertainment companies. They argue it places an undue burden on adults wishing to access constitutionally protected free expression. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:01:47): Speaking of porn and its related businesses, the Rick's Cabaret recession index is back on. Did you guys see this? It was published on Twitter. So Rick's Cabaret is a collection of public strip clubs. And then that includes bars. And what's interesting about the Rick's Cabaret stock price is that it has presaged the last two recessions. Whenever the stock dies, people have said it actually predicts an upcoming recession, and the stock just, you know, puked up like 25 or 30% in the last week. Who boy? Jason Calacanis (01:02:21): Here it is. So people do not have the cheddar to go to the cabaret and go splashy cash. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:02:32): Called Rick's Cabaret, but the strip club index says, recession is is on the off. Speaker 4 (01:02:36): I prefer Cabaret. Jason Calacanis (01:02:38): It's more charming. Alright. So David Sacks (01:02:41): But you take out surprise you're not discussing the immunity case. That's the one that all the pundits Jason Calacanis (01:02:46): are not defaulting about. I I made it I made it last. David Friedberg (01:02:48): I'll counter the Rick's cabaret recession indicator as valid anymore based on the theory of our good friend on the group chat who I think has done a very good job highlighting that the strip club industry has been decimated by OnlyFans. As a result, Rick's cabaret is more likely down because of OnlyFans and the lack of, shall we say, employee base available to work in these establishments because they make more money working online at OnlyFans now. That was a theory posited by one of our good friends, but you kind of think that that showed up in Chamath Palihapitiya (01:03:23): the data at least a year or two years ago. No? Because how long has OnlyFans been around? A long time, I'm guessing. David Friedberg (01:03:29): Well, but I think it Jason Calacanis (01:03:29): peaked during COVID because, you know, you couldn't go to a cabaret if you wanted to take in a cabaret show and have a, you know, a bottle of champagne at a cabaret show, you you couldn't do it. So the thesis of our friend is the David Friedberg (01:03:44): The thesis of our friend that understands Yeah. OnlyFans took all the entertainers out of the strip club industry because they make more money online. The cabaret industry. I'm sorry. Please edit that, Nick. And as a result, the quality of the product at the cabaret business has declined. And as a result, revenue has declined. And it took a little bit of time to earn that in. Jason Calacanis (01:04:05): So So the virtual cabaret industry. David Friedberg (01:04:07): That's our friend's theory. We give him a Chamath Palihapitiya (01:04:09): big shout out. We will. Jason Calacanis (01:04:10): Yeah. Shout out David Friedberg (01:04:11): to it. Well, but call it the beep theory. Yeah. Jason Calacanis (01:04:14): The beep theory. So the the the elite cabaret artists can make more money on OnlyFans that go there. And then the that leaves the less refined artists Speaker 4 (01:04:28): Why? It's so good. So pure. I'm trying to navigate this and not get labeled. David Friedberg (01:04:34): Sacks, where are you on this? What's your opinion? No. Sacks. No. I'm just gonna wait. Yeah. No. I'm just trying to get into Speaker 4 (01:04:40): captain position. Jason Calacanis (01:04:41): So, anyway, so far, 16 red states have passed or agreed to pass each game. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:04:46): You know, Jason's got a Dunder Mifflin index of whatever. Sorry. Speaker 4 (01:04:51): I couldn't hear Chamath Palihapitiya (01:04:51): you guys. Sorry. I couldn't hear you guys. Speaker 4 (01:04:51): Sorry. I'm laughing. Just say Jason Calacanis (01:04:53): it again. Cut out. Speaker 4 (01:04:54): You had the Dunder Mifflin score of X Y Z. David Friedberg (01:05:01): Dunder Mifflin. Speaker 4 (01:05:02): So which question counts in the Dunder Mifflin score, David Friedberg (01:05:06): but it's not the same. Jason Calacanis (01:05:10): I don't understand the Dunder Mifflin score. David Friedberg (01:05:13): Can you call off The Office? Jason Calacanis (01:05:15): I don't watch The Office. Oh my god. Speaker 4 (01:05:17): Sorry. Sorry. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:05:17): Sorry. Sorry. David Friedberg (01:05:18): Sorry. What is wrong with you? Jason Calacanis (01:05:19): You would never had it too. I never I never got into it, but yeah. David Friedberg (01:05:22): I probably watched it, like, 4 That's Jason Calacanis (01:05:23): the paper company where they Yeah. Apparently, we've had a huge victory for Trump in the immunity case. Trump sued, in this case, based on special counsel, Jack Smith's prosecution, of Trump for alleged attempts to overturn the 2020 election and his role in January 6th. If you don't remember that case, since there's so many cases against Trump, this was based on Trump pressuring Mike Pence to not certify the election, his phone call to get the 11,780 votes that were missing in Georgia or Giuliani and the whack pack trying to fake electorates to overturn the election. Trump argued that he should be immune from prosecution for acts Chamath Palihapitiya (01:06:05): committed while he was president. Jason Calacanis (01:06:05): SCOTUS ruled 6-3 along party lines that former presidents can't face prosecution for actions that related to core powers of their office, and that's Chamath Palihapitiya (01:06:18): official official official. That was the term of these. Jason Calacanis (01:06:21): core powers of their office and that all official acts receive at least the broad presumption of immunity. Here's the quote: "Under our constitutional structure of separated powers, the nature of presidential power entitles former presidents to absolute immunity for criminal prosecution" Chamath Palihapitiya (01:06:37): for actions within his conclusive and preclusive Jason Calacanis (01:06:37): constitutional authority, and he is entitled to at least presumptive immunity from prosecution for all his official acts. There is no immunity for unofficial acts that would be outside the duty of the president. Chief Justice Roberts emphasized that the decision doesn't necessarily mean presidents are above the law. In her dissenting opinion, Justice Sotomayor wrote that under the new ruling, criminal law can't be applied to presidents even if they misuse their office for personal gains. She wrote that if the president orders the Navy SEAL Team 6 to assassinate a political rival, he is now insulated from criminal prosecution. Another quote: "The president is now a king above the law." She closed with this line: "With fear for our democracy, I dissent." Notably, this breaks the tradition of closing with a "respectfully dissent." So Trump's attempts to overturn the election results case now hinges on whether Trump's conduct was private or related to his official duty. For example, the lower courts now have to determine when Trump pressured Pence to not certify the election, if that was an official business of being president or not, or when he called Georgia and said, "Hey, can you find me 11,000 votes?" Was that official duty, or is it outside his duty? President Trump has already cited the immunity ruling in requesting a New York judge throw out his conviction in the hush money case. Sentencing for that was pushed back from July 11 to September because of this ruling. Sacks, there's your what Chamath Palihapitiya (01:08:09): do you think, Jacob? Well, Jacob, what do you think? This is I'm really curious what Jason Calacanis (01:08:13): I've I mean, I I read the the I'm I'm halfway through the the original PDF. And I do think the president needs immunity, obviously, for conducting business. And then I do think if they step outside the lines, they should not have immunity, and then the devil will be in the details here, and that's what courts and juries exist to do. So when he told Mike Pence to not certify the election, he's obviously not doing that as part of his duty as president when he called Georgia to get the 11,000 votes. He was not doing that. That's why he had outside counsel there. That's why he hired Giuliani and the Waxham. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:08:53): What do you think what do you think of Sotomayor's hypothetical of using SEAL Team 6 to kill a political rival? Jason Calacanis (01:08:59): Well, I, that would think Chamath Palihapitiya (01:09:00): that that's think that he would be immune from pro anybody would be immune from prosecution for them? Jason Calacanis (01:09:05): No. That seemed a little bit hysterical. And, actually, that came up in the discussions I actually listened to the audio version of this when they were doing the the Q and A, basically. And and I think you listened to it too, Friedberg, when it talked about it. So, yeah, I I think the devil will be in the details here and how they execute it. Obviously, you need to have immunity if you're going to, I don't know, take actions you know, to assassinate Osama bin Laden, right, or or whatever it is. But, you know, it's it is, a bit concerning this concept of being able to shield the president when he asks, I don't know, the attorney general to do something legal. These are the details that are gonna need to be worked out here. And, obviously, it's a split decision. So the Supreme Court themselves can't agree on this. I think there's just Chamath Palihapitiya (01:09:51): so much we don't know about what it takes to be the president of the United States. The example that I gave you guys in the group chat is like, look at the whole Iran-Contra affair. How complicated was that? Can any of us really understand what all of the interplay was when Ronald Reagan decides to work around a weapons embargo, sell weapons to Iran, take money, funnel it, and fund the Sandinistas? In the middle of all of that, there was a huge cocaine trade that was kind of enabled or supported. I mean, how do we know? I think there's just a lot of latitude that you give to the one person that you elect to be president. And so maybe it's just a good reminder for all of us that we are electing one. We cannot be electing five or six people. We're not electing a shadow cabinet. We're electing one person, and this is just a reminder of how much power that one person has. Jason Calacanis (01:10:44): Sacks here, Brooks? David Sacks (01:10:46): I think this was an easy decision. All the majority did was codify explicitly what has long been presumed: that presidents enjoy broad immunity for official acts that they undertake in the exercise of their constitutional authority in the duties of their office. It was established decades ago that presidents enjoy broad immunity from civil lawsuits. And so it's already been the case that presidents can't be sued civilly. Well, criminal liability is even harder to prove. So if you have the broad immunity from civil, you should have broad immunity from criminal as well. And the Supreme Court, I think, had never ruled on criminal immunity because they never had to. No former president's ever been subjected to the type of lawfare that's been deployed against Trump, who also happens to be the political opponent of the current president. So I think it's a shame that the Supreme Court has had to rule on this. Did they get every detail right? I don't know. I don't know what it means for the future. However, I know the reason they're doing it, which is we've had this unprecedented lawfare against Trump, and that's why they've been forced to do this. So ultimately, I think this is the right decision. No. It does not authorize drone strikes against the president's local enemies. That's the same. It does not make the president above the law or a king. And I think that Roberts in his ruling said that the key things, he said that the dissent's position in the end boils down to ignoring the Constitution's separation of powers and the court's precedent and instead fearmongers on the basis of extreme hypotheticals. And then he says that the dissent overlooked the more likely prospect of an executive branch that cannibalizes itself with the excess of presidents free to prosecute his predecessors yet unable to boldly and fearlessly carry out his duties for fear that he may be next. David Sacks (01:12:35): I think that's really the key line here is that you're posing all these insane hypotheticals instead of recognizing the practical reality that if you don't give presidents immunity, then the next president's gonna prosecute the old president, and future presidents will be hamstrung in doing this very important job. That's already difficult enough. So I think that this was just a necessary decision. There was no way around it, and the president already has civil immunity. You gotta give him criminal immunity too. Jason Calacanis (01:13:05): Friedberg, your thoughts, I guess, the steel man on the other side would be, you know, Trump doing things like calling Georgia and asking to find votes, or pressuring the president, the vice president to overturn the election results after sixty failed legal cases you know, is what's concerning the other side. So do you have a take David Friedberg (01:13:25): on it? I think that the distinction between acting in their executive capacity as president of the United States versus their personal capacity as an individual candidate or an individual that could benefit through some other means is a really good distinction. I think how the courts ultimately adjudicate that distinction is what's still ahead. But I do think that the clarity of that distinction is critical. It seems like the right thing, how this is gonna play out with respect to election interference. Does interfering with the election constitute one's role as an executive overseeing the federal election process, or does it constitute one's personal benefits that may arise if one is individually elected is the key determinant that the lower court will likely have to make. Maybe that gets kicked back up again in the future, if there's a disagreement over the decision that the court does make with regards to that distinction. Jason Calacanis (01:14:23): Where do you stand on that? In previous episodes, you said you didn't believe in this election interference and you thought Trump lost. Have you changed your position on that, or are you still in that position? David Sacks (01:14:34): That's totally relevant to the court's decision. Jason Calacanis (01:14:36): Let me ask you a follow-up to that then. So in the case of do you think Trump was acting officially when he asked Georgia to find the votes, when he asked Pence to overturn the election, or do you think he was acting in his duty? David Sacks (01:14:47): I think that what you just described there is what's known as a question of fact in the legal system. There are questions of law and questions of fact. And what the Supreme Court has done is given us a doctrine. They've answered the question of law. They've basically given us a three-part test. They said that when the president acts within his exclusive constitutional authority, he gets broad immunity when he does an official duty, but that's not in that category. He gets presumptive immunity, meaning that the prosecutor can still go after him. They just have to rebut the presumption. And when he engages in a personal act, there's no immunity. So look, what has to happen now is if Jack Smith wants to continue this prosecution of Trump, he's gonna have to make the argument that Trump's acts were either personal or were part of his duties, but he's gonna rebut the presumption. So that is now the question of fact that Jack Smith would have to litigate, and I'm not gonna litigate it here. I don't know the answer to that, but again, I would separate questions of law and questions of fact. What the Supreme Court has done, I think, has given us a useful doctrine that the presidency now needs in light of the reality of lawfare. Jason Calacanis (01:15:54): So this is the one I think Chamath that is super fascinating because I could see President Trump and his lawyer saying, hey. Very simple. You know, we think there was election interference. So, yeah, we called Georgia to make sure that those 11,000 votes were there. And, hey, you know, we thought this was not a fair election, so I was acting in my duty when I told Pence to not certify the election. I could see them making that argument. What do you think? Chamath Palihapitiya (01:16:20): I don't I don't know the specifics of these cases, but I think it's gonna force a prosecutor to have a really strong point of view and have evidence and then go after somebody. But again, I think you're focusing too much on Trump. Roberts said in the decision, you have to look past the exigencies of the current moment. This is a set of rules that's about past presidents and future presidents. This is for forever. And so that's the most important thing here, which is there's a set of rules that I think we can all agree on because the man that we all elect, duty free elect, is the most powerful person in the world. We knew it before. We know it now. So even more important that we make sure we're picking one person and that person is capable of doing the job. You may not agree but they need to be competent and capable of doing the job. Jason Calacanis (01:17:12): Yeah. Well, they definitely have to be competent. And this case was brought by Trump over this specific issue. So I think that's if we look at this specific judgment here, that's what they're gonna have to determine in the coming months or years with this case. Is was he acting in his duty, or was he not? That's gonna be a really David Sacks (01:17:31): interesting case. Between between this ruling and another case call Fisher versus US, which is the January 6th obstruction case where the Supreme Court in the 6th string majority found that Sarbanes Oxley was being misused to create a new crime called obstructing an official proceeding. When you combine that judgment with this judgment, I think Jackson must have just resigned. It's pretty clear that some court has kicked the legs out from under his case. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:17:56): And by the way, Ketanji Brown Jackson supported a bad decision. David Sacks (01:18:00): That's right. Again, not a not a Chamath Palihapitiya (01:18:02): a David Sacks (01:18:04): not a hyper-partisan court. They just ruled that Sarbanes-Oxley had nothing to do with what happened on January 6, and it was being misused by a creative prosecutor. And I told you when these Jack Smith cases first came, I said it's not the job of a prosecutor to be creative. Their job is to narrowly interpret the law and to enforce the law. And you combine these rulings together, and you can see that Jack Smith has now an even more uphill battle. It's time for him to resign. By the way, that's 200 convictions. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:18:33): It's not just 1. That's right. David Sacks (01:18:35): That's right. Jason Calacanis (01:18:35): 200 of them. Small percentage of the overall convictions, though. David Sacks (01:18:39): They took hundreds of people who did not engage in any violence on January 6. Many of them just wandered through an open door in the Capitol, and they were prosecuted to the hilt. They were sent to jail for that because this DOJ wanted to send a statement. They wanted to use them as a political talking point, and that's a shame. I think hundreds of people were horribly mistreated by the judicial system as part of the political prosecution. Now there are except for Jason Calacanis (01:19:07): the ones who beat police and brought David Sacks (01:19:10): No problem. I'm putting those people in jail. No problem. Anyone who committed violence, go directly to jail, do not pass go. But some of these people just took a tour through the Capitol. And all those people Jason Calacanis (01:19:20): got suspended sentences and trespassing. The ones who went to David Sacks (01:19:24): jail were the ones who beat cops or no. Jason Calacanis (01:19:26): Not just to cancel. David Sacks (01:19:32): The former coach just because he wore the Viking. Remember the guy with the Viking? Jason Calacanis (01:19:35): Oh, yeah. So they also went to jail saying, if you did damage, if you do, if you vandal. Yeah. That was the other reason people went to jail. I saw David Sacks (01:19:42): a video of him getting a guided tour through the Capitol. Jason Calacanis (01:19:45): I mean, if you vandalized a Capitol building, I guess you have to do something. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:19:48): What do David Sacks (01:19:48): you do? He moved a dance around? Jason Calacanis (01:19:50): No. I think they, like, shattered the windows and, you know David Sacks (01:19:53): He did. I never saw any video of him doing that. Jason Calacanis (01:19:56): Anyway David Sacks (01:19:56): They they picked on him because he was an easy target because he looked like a weirdo, and he had the Viking horns. And he has he has a history of mental problems. And so they put that man in jail for years. Jason Calacanis (01:20:09): Yeah. I'm not concerned about him. I'm concerned about the ones who brought all the long guns to the hotels around the Capitol. To have backup firepower. But, you know, hey, everybody's got a different opinion on this. We, that sounds like the All-In Podcast. David Sacks (01:20:22): You can you can you can have those concerns. I don't think let's put it as some people in jail. Speaker 4 (01:20:26): Yeah. I think that you Jason Calacanis (01:20:27): can hold both of those ideas. I don't think anybody in a century should go to jail, and I don't think the Oath Keepers should have brought guns to the Capitol. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:20:32): Okay. David Sacks (01:20:33): They didn't. They brought them to Virginia. Just to be clear. Jason Calacanis (01:20:35): Yeah. They brought them to the hotels around them. Huge large cache. David Sacks (01:20:38): In Virginia. Correct. David Friedberg (01:20:40): Yeah. In Virginia. Jason Calacanis (01:20:41): Yeah. They drove to the Capitol on January 6th. David Sacks (01:20:43): Anyway, I'm not defending them. I'm not defending them. I no. I'm not defending them. I'm just clarifying that there were no guns at the Capitol because that's No. Jason Calacanis (01:20:50): No. They were in the hotel. David Sacks (01:20:51): That's a lie. But I don't think innocent people who just wanted to do the Capitol should go to jail. And that clearly Jason Calacanis (01:20:57): We agree that you're not going to jail. We should get trespassing tickets. Okay. This is episode 186 of the world's number one podcast. Did Biden resign while we're shaping? David Friedberg (01:21:07): Biden just went on a campaign call, and he said, let me say this as clearly as I possibly can, Chamath Palihapitiya (01:21:12): as David Friedberg (01:21:12): simply and straightforward as I can, I am running. No one's pushing me out. I'm not leaving. I'm in this race to the end, and we're going to win. Woah. David Sacks (01:21:21): I think it's more likely than not that they're not gonna replace Biden because the only feasible alternative is Harris and she'd be worse. And I think it's more dangerous for the country, frankly, I'd rather just see Biden finish out his term than put someone Jason Calacanis (01:21:37): new at the experience. Even if he had David Sacks (01:21:40): too too bad. It's two bad choices, Jason. And I don't agree with Biden's policies, but there's continuity there. Jason Calacanis (01:21:46): Okay. For the chairman dictator from the home office in Italy, Chamath Palihapitiya, your sultan of science, and the rain man, yeah, definitely definitely cabinet position. David Sacks, I am. The world's greatest moderator of the number one podcast in the world. We'll see you next time. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:22:03): Bye bye. Jason Calacanis (01:22:07): We'll let your winners ride. Rainman, David, Saturday. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:22:12): I'm going home. Jason Calacanis (01:22:14): And it said we open system of fans, and they've just gone crazy with it. On air when I try. Besties our car. I don't think that's that's my dog's I missed your driveway. Chamath Palihapitiya (01:22:39): Thank you, George, because they're all just useless. It's like this, like, sexual tension, and they just need to release their mouth. Jason Calacanis (01:22:47): Flirt. You're a thief. Where did you get Marc's artifacts?

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