嘉宾访谈·中文精读

杰克·保罗与烟鬼组合:把名气变成资金、杰克进军政坛?与风投泡沫信号

Jake Paul & The Chainsmokers: Turning Fame into Funds, Jake Enters Politics? & Venture Bubble Signs

杰克·保罗谈把观众变成生意、拳击布局与挑战 UFC;烟鬼组合谈从艺人到投资人、选项目与风投泡沫信号。

官方音频00:00 / --:--

本期章节点时间可跳到音频对应位置

  1. 0:00杰克·保罗做客查马斯!
  2. 6:41把受众变成生意、拳击剧本及进军 UFC
  3. 11:54注意力即资本、不带名人标签的投资及为何下一步是政治
  4. 20:46德鲁·塔格特与亚历克斯·帕尔做客好友团!
  5. 30:35从艺人到投资者:挑交易、扮演第六人及名气能买到什么
  6. 37:33给名人投资者的建议、名气是助力还是阻力及非显而易见的押注
  7. 46:10乘胜追击、把现金返还给投资者及识别泡沫行为
中文精读由 AI 基于原始节目改写,非官方翻译,可能存在偏差或错误;观点归属与表述以原音频与官方文稿为准。说明

杰克·保罗(Jake Paul)说,他四十岁的时候大概率会去搞政治。

没有打太极,也没有说“看情况”。他把逻辑摆得很清楚:靠搏击和内容,钱和名都已经挣到了,接下来想解决的是“帮更多人”这个层级的问题,而政治是他看到的、能真正推动改变的最直接路径。

这期 All-In 是两场访谈拼在一起的 Summit 现场。前半场杰森(Jason Calacanis)对谈杰克·保罗,聊名气怎么变成生意、拳击怎么颠覆 UFC、投资怎么做。后半场是烟鬼组合(The Chainsmokers)的德鲁·塔格特(Drew Taggart)和亚历克斯·帕尔(Alex Pall),聊他们怎么从 DJ 变成 VC,以及他们眼里风投泡沫的信号。

两个话题看着不搭,其实指向同一个问题:当一个人手里握着的最大资产是注意力,他该怎么把这东西兑换成真正的、能活下去的生意。

一个 138 亿播放量的人,最早是在 Vine 上被人白嫖的

杰克的起点比大多数人想象的要早。他在 Vine 上起家,那时候 TikTok 和 YouTube 都还不是主战场。

他对杰森说的话里,有一句很关键:“我从来不是觉得社交媒体是新潮流,我就是那个潮流。”

这不是吹牛。他做这件事的时候,做内容还不是一门显学,没有人在教你怎么做博主、怎么组建团队、怎么把流量变成公司。“我在做,是因为我热爱做。”他说,真正能成的那批人,是那些本身就有娱乐性、有观点、填了一个真实空缺的人,而不是看到别人火了才想着去复制。

然后 Vine 出事了。这件事他讲得特别细,值得单独拎出来。

当时排名前二十的 Viners 一起去找 Vine,说你们得给我们付钱,不然我们就停更。他们清楚自己在给平台创造全部内容和全部观看量,而平台一分钱没给。

Vine 把这诉求带回给 Twitter,回来说:好吧,我们可以付这一百万美元。

“我们说,是一百万一个人,还是一百万一个月?结果他们说,我们付一百万,你们二十个人自己分。我们说,不行,我们要一人一年一百万。他们说不行。然后我们集体停更,转到 Facebook、YouTube 和 Snapchat 上去了。两三个月后,Vine 就死了。”(杰克·保罗)

这段故事的信息量在于:平台和创作者之间的议价权,在那一刻就已经完成了一次翻转。 谁掌握注意力,谁就掌握定价权。杰克后来所有的生意,从 Team 10 到拳击到投资,都是站在这个认知上搭起来的。

但他也承认这套东西的代价。他提到一个词,叫“YouTuber 病”:为了每天制造点击,人会被逼着说越来越离谱的话。他不回避自己小时候也这么干过。

杰森追问,YouTube 该不该承担更多过滤责任。杰克的回答是,这事单靠一家平台解决不了,因为如果 YouTube 收紧,用户就流向 Twitch、Twitter、Instagram、TikTok。“这跟美国、俄罗斯、中国之间的 AI 竞赛是一个逻辑,谁先收手谁就掉队,除非大家一起收手。”

拳击不是玩票,是把战绩从 20 胜 0 负那段路直接砍掉

拳击这条路,起因很偶然。英国一对兄弟跟他们隔空叫板,签了合同,三个月后开打。

杰克第二天就进了职业拳馆。他从小在俄亥俄是运动员,三个月练下来水平已经不差,去曼彻斯特打客场,KO 赢了。

他说那感觉“非常爽”,甚至有点受虐倾向地承认:被打脸和打赢别人,都挺酷的。

但那场比赛真正的意义不在拳台上。它是业余拳击史上最大的付费观看赛事。他看到了数字,决定不回头。

传统拳手的路径是:先打一堆软柿子,把战绩刷到 20 胜 0 负,观众才第一次听说你。杰克把这段路直接砍掉了。他带着一亿粉丝,从第一场开始就有人在看。

这套逻辑他之前就用过一次。Team 10 签了一批有潜力的年轻人,帮他们涨粉到几百万,做成了一个内容孵化器。拳击只是把同一个模型换了个赛道:现在 MVP 旗下有四百名拳手,横跨拳击和 MMA。

他公开说要打 UFC。

“首先,他们不把拳手放在第一位。他们给拳手的钱大概只占总收入的 15%,而其他职业体育联盟是 50%。”(杰克·保罗)

他举了个具体例子:肖恩·奥马利(Sean O'Malley)在白宫那场赛事只拿到 60 万美元。钱给不到位,大比赛就组织不起来,粉丝想看的对决不发生。

杰克的判断很直白:你的利润率,就是我的机会。 让拳手拿到更大比例的分成、允许他们自己接赞助、不把人雪藏,这套东西足以吸引顶尖选手离开。

他的说法是,每个行业都有可口可乐和百事、耐克和阿迪达斯。在它出现之前,从来没有人可能跟 UFC 竞争。

这里有个数字他没展开,但意思很清楚:MVP 刚跟 PFL 完成合并。他没说合并后的估值,也没说收入结构,只说了“接下来几年会非常刺激”。

从 18 岁开始做天使投资,现在到第四期基金

杰克的另一条线是投资。他 18 岁跑去硅谷,逛了 Google、Twitter、Uber,看到一群人在 hacker house 里做各种疯狂的应用,然后就开始了天使投资。

“犯了一大堆错,然后把基金正式做起来了。”他的合伙人是 Jeff Wu。

投资组合里有 OpenAI、Cognition、SpaceX。这不像是随手投的。

他和 Jeff Wu 的核心判断是:我们处在注意力经济里,而资本是大宗商品。

他拿马斯克买推特举例。新注册一个推特账号,系统推荐的第一个关注对象就是马斯克,把自己旗下所有公司都从这个入口导出去。这个操作非常聪明。

“把注意力带给一家公司、带给一张股权结构表,这件事我们发现有极高的价值,而且创始人确实需要、也确实想要。”

他提到一件具体的事:OpenAI 做 Sora 的时候,是他建议对方“可以做一个社交媒体应用”,并参与了整个应用的搭建过程,还把自己的 NIL(姓名、形象、肖像权)授权给对方,让用户可以拿他做视频素材。

这个细节值得停一下。一个网红能参与到大模型公司的产品决策里去,靠的从来都是他在分发端的稀缺性。

基金规模是 1 亿美元。他给它起的定位叫“反基金”。

说到这他有点上火:

“我讨厌‘明星 VC’这个说法,就是很烦。如果一个律师做投资,没人叫他律师投资人。我是名人,他们就叫我是名人投资人。别这么叫,拿我们的 DPI 和 IRR 去跟红杉比,看谁做得更好。”(杰克·保罗)

策略上是杠铃式:一头做第一张支票,从零帮创始人搭公司、找人才;另一头做成长轮,进那些已经有战绩的公司,跟“Sam 们、Palmer 们”这类人一起。他说基金已经投完,正在募第四期。

杰森问他,注意力经济有没有反面。杰克的回答绕回了内容行业本身:

“问题是如果人忘了去做出真正好的东西,只想着做出能吸引眼球的东西,让人看起来像是在做大事,那就有问题了。为了流量去制造不真实,这是我在新闻、报道和内容创作里看到的最大问题。很多人说那些疯话,是因为他们知道那能带来巨大播放量、能赚钱。”(杰克·保罗)

他自己也没躲开这个问题。他承认年少时就这么干过。

四十岁的杰克·保罗:政治

杰森最后问他,四十岁的时候人在哪。

杰克说,政治。

他的理由跟“我想当官”没关系。他给出的是一条自称已经验证过的路径:他现在最有成就感的事,是在女子拳击和年轻拳手身上给别人搭台子。他说他们把女子拳击“基本上做成了 WNBA”,过去这些选手拿得少、被忽视、连赛事卡都上不了,现在能拿到职业生涯最大的支票。

“帮助世界,我觉得最好的方式是某种形式的政治,真正从最底层参与进去、推动改变。”

他还给出一个预测:未来进办公室的人,会自带一套可以直接对话的粉丝群体。

杰森接了一句,说他讲这个讲了五年。杰克说,斯宾塞·普拉特(Spencer Pratt)最近成了第一个例子。杰森补了一句,特朗普可能才算第一个。杰克不同意:特朗普是传统名人,没有那种原生做内容的社交媒体受众。

他还点了 Nick Shirley 的名字,说这类人以后该去从政,这一代未来的领导者会自带票仓。

这段值得留意的地方在于,他把“注意力”当成了一种可以跨领域迁移的资本:内容、拳击、投资、政治,是同一套底层能力的四次应用。

烟鬼组合:从 Hype Machine 的冷邮件,到 25 张白金唱片

后半场气氛明显松下来了。杰森提到上次见到他们是在 Vegas 的 pit 里,凌晨一点还在跳。

两个人的组合史讲得很干脆。亚历克斯先跟另一个人做了 Chainsmokers,后来散伙。德鲁当时在雪城大学念书,快毕业,自己在做音乐,被人介绍认识。两人见了面,觉得“你看着挺酷,组个乐队吧”。

十四年过去,还是最好的朋友。

“我们在很多别的领域想法高度一致,这是我这辈子最幸运的事。”(德鲁·塔格特)

他们在 Wynn 驻场八年,在 Vegas 前后十年。杰森开玩笑说 Wynn 就是他们的锚定 LP。

音乐行业现在的数字,德鲁给了一个:Spotify 每天上传 30 万首歌。

“我们 2012 年开始的时候不是这样,那时候还没有流媒体。如果今天我们从头再来,我不知道该怎么做成。”

他们当年的破局方式,今天看依然是个漂亮的增长案例。

那时候有个叫 Hype Machine 的榜单,是互联网上第一个病毒式传播榜单,算法逻辑很简单:有多少博客提到你,以及那个榜单上你拿到多少赞。

他们去求那些被榜单收录的音乐人,让他们做 remix。然后亚历克斯钻到 Hype Machine 的后台,把每一个给这些博客写稿的作者都挖出来,逐个查他们上的是哪所学校,写极度个性化的邮件。

因为他发现,这些写稿的都是大学生,他们渴望离音乐人更近一点,而唱片公司发来的全是千篇一律的推广邮件,毫无吸引力。

“我们职业生涯第一年,从几乎完全无人知晓,做到了在那个网站上拥有大约 30 个第一名,因为我们 remix 的是对的东西。第一年之内,亚历克斯搭建起来的推广平台,可能比当时任何一家唱片公司都更有力量。”(德鲁·塔格特)

杰森的评价是:这就是内容营销。

德鲁自己也承认,这套打法今天不适用了。当年是 Hype Machine,今天是 TikTok,形式变了,逻辑没变。

音乐这门生意现在哪里坏了

德鲁对当下的唱片合约结构意见很大,而且他很自然地把这事跟风投做了类比。

“现在分发渠道比以往任何时候都多,你可以直接建自己的受众、直接面对粉丝、建自己的社群。我很想看到第一个彻底拒绝所有惯例的新人出现,不签唱片公司,不把接下来五张专辑签出去。我觉得我们正站在那个临界点上。”(德鲁·塔格特)

他描述的那个循环是这样的:你花了半条命做出东西,终于破圈了,这时候有人拿着你人生中第一笔几百万美元摆在你面前;同时你想起来,你崇拜过的所有人,当年也都签了。

于是问题变成:是在这一刻真正押注自己、直接面对粉丝,还是走那条稍微安全一点、却把一部分未来的自己卖出去的路。

他没有给出答案,只说现在没人真的知道会发生什么,尤其是 AI、流媒体、YouTube 全搅在一起,人的注意力窗口越来越短。

收入结构上,对他们来说现场演出是大头。他们从舞曲出身,先是 DJ 才是别的,DJ set 的经济效益远好于带整编乐队的体育馆巡演。

德鲁还聊了怀旧这件事。2026 年有一股很强的怀旧潮,而 2016 年恰好是他们职业生涯很特别的一年。他们现在的难题是,怎么在“让自己做起来兴奋、演起来兴奋”和“触到那种特别的感觉”之间找平衡。

杰森说他看自己十几岁孩子的 Spotify 歌单,全是复古的东西,连 Elton John 都在听。

德鲁的回答挺朴素:人总是把过去记得比现在好,想活在一个自己能上色的时间段里。“或者就说,也许那时候的音乐确实更好。”

“我们是球队的第六人”,这句话不是谦虚

进风投这条路,亚历克斯自己说是“cliché 到不能再 cliché”:成功的艺人,有分发和营销平台,天然是消费品牌的猫薄荷。

但让他们真正上头的从来都是跟创始人的关系、以及能真的往公司里加价值这件事,被动收益那点想象空间根本不够。

“我不会撒谎,世界不需要更多的水公司。当我们见到 Brian Chesky、Drew Houston、Michael Seibel、Khan 兄弟这些创始人,你就得问自己:我们想把时间和钱花在哪?这里大部分东西可能都不会成,那至少投那些我们觉得真的有意思、真的可能对世界有正面影响的东西。”(亚历克斯·帕尔)

他自嘲说,自己当年投了 Uber 的 G 轮还是最后一轮,觉得那是这辈子最聪明最酷的操作,到今天这笔投资赚了大概 25 美元。

现在的基金叫 Mantis,由他们俩、Jeff、Drew Milan 一起创办,另有几位合伙人。方向是网络安全、AI、基础设施、深度科技、健康科技,投 A 轮,不领投。

亚历克斯打了个比方:他们想做“年度最佳第六人”,想当罗伯特·霍里(Robert Horry)。 霍里手上有一堆总冠军戒指,你不必在每支球队都是奥尼尔。

这话不是客套。他们很清楚自己的位置:不替代红杉,也不替代任何一家手艺型基金,只想当一个协作型的伙伴。

那他们到底能给什么?

“我收到过一封邮件说,能不能帮我约某个人通个电话?答案是,可以,我们三天前刚在他们公司派对上演出过。这没问题。”(亚历克斯·帕尔)

市场进入、品牌、品牌建设,这是他们的强项。德鲁补了一句判断:当 AI 让技术的护城河越来越难维持,品牌这件事的重要性反而上来了,你得把氧气吸干。

杰森从 VC 的角度给了个肯定:做音乐行业这门生意,比做软件难一个数量级;而 deal flow 是风投最难的部分,这个播客给了他们 deal flow,烟鬼组合则是有自己领域的公信力,很多创始人可能去看过他们的演出、跟着他们的歌蹦过。

德鲁的回应是:

“我喜欢当弱者,那是最好的位置。我不觉得有人该赌我们输。继续低估我们吧,我们乐意待在那儿。”(德鲁·塔格特)

名气在募资时是负债,在回报面前一文不值

杰森问了个直接的问题:如果有个好莱坞的大明星,名气极大、靠名字就能拿到份额,但完全不懂怎么做,你会给什么建议。

亚历克斯的回答很冷:

“我会先问他房贷还完了没有。如果这些都处理完了,我会说,风投大概是你最后才该碰的领域。”(亚历克斯·帕尔)

理由是资产的期限和流动性:长周期、低流动性,而且极难。头部 5% 拿走 90% 的回报,你必须在最好的那些公司里。

他还说了一件很实在的事:很多人来找他们说想进风投,但真正见面的时候,来的是对方的团队,本人不出现。“大家没意识到这活儿有多重。”

名气到底是加分还是减分,两个人的答案是“都是”。

亚历克斯说自己天天在 LinkedIn 上用名字去约人,这确实打开了门。但募资的时候,机构里的 principal 会直说:我认可你们在做的事,但我不会投“烟鬼组合基金”,因为一旦出问题,我第一个被拎出来说的就是这个。

“我完全理解,也能共情。我们一直是结果导向的人。所以没关系,下一期基金我带着数字回来,让你后悔这个决定,我们再来一次。”(亚历克斯·帕尔)

杰森在这里补了一段自己的经历,是整期节目里最有分量的一段之一:

“如果我在投资人那段生涯里学到了什么,那就是持续产出 DPI 的能力可以穿透一切噪音。有人对你有意见,有人没有。但回报是无可辩驳的。把注意力、名气、历史战绩、技术经验转化成结果,这件事本身会说话。投资人有非常好的习惯,就是对除了回报之外的一切都记性极短。”(杰森·卡拉卡尼斯)

他们眼里的泡沫信号:第二笔钱付了两三倍的价格,基本面一点没变

亚历克斯说,他们第一笔支票到现在 12 年,基金做了 7 年,他仍然觉得自己是“这个街区的新人”。

现在最难的地方是流动性太多。只因为参与的人是谁,公司就会被 mark up,这不等于你真的判断对了。作为管理人真正的责任,是投那些真实、可触摸的想法、创始人和生意,而不是风投里那些靠热度的那一面。

他承认,现在完全可以出去投一堆“我知道它会被 mark up”的公司,但他看不到这些公司长期要往哪走。

德鲁接过话,描述了一个他正在观察的现象,没有点名具体公司:

“看着公司周围的需求起来、价格被定下来、然后在新价格上大家对这家公司的感觉,然后需求要么重新积累、要么就停在那儿。观察这种供需和情绪的信号非常有意思。每天都有二级市场的邮件进来,每天都有拿流动性的机会。但这正是你需要花大量时间做承销、真正理解这些生意潜力的地方。”(德鲁·塔格特)

杰森直接给了个定性,这是他这期说得最锋利的一句:

“那个往第二笔 tranche 上加钱的人,付了显著的溢价,有时是公司初始估值的两三倍,而底层业绩完全没变。这就是泡沫市场的行为。你看到这个的时候,就该记一笔。”(杰森·卡拉卡尼斯)

关于什么时候退出,亚历克斯说他们刚有了第一次像样的流动性事件,是 Underdog Fantasy。给 LP 发钱那天感觉很棒。

他的判断是:基金 1 和基金 2 里投他们的那批人,本来就不是来求稳的,所以他们有空间去让赢家继续跑。Dandy 在基金 1 里,每年翻倍,刚开始国际扩张,“我会一直骑到轮子掉下来”。

但他也承认,在 AI 和资本的当下,完全可以设计一个商业模式:进最卷的 A 轮、加价值、到 B 轮或 C 轮就退出,稳赚。他们没这么做,但这些信号值得盯。

杰森把话题拉到“加倍下注”这件事上,提了 Founders Fund 的做法:每一期基金都必须找出组合里那一个,把 25% 的资本压上去。

“这非常吓人。相当于我要搬进那家公司住三个月,变成它的员工,然后想办法拿到足够的筹码,说服对方接受这么大一张支票。”(亚历克斯·帕尔)

他说回头看,该这么做的信号一直都在,他一直知道是哪些公司,只是需要一步步攒够胆子和对那种无形信号的判断力。

德鲁补了个数字视角的变化:

“十年前说‘十亿’这个词,感觉像是玩笑话。现在说的是十亿收入。我觉得独角兽的定义不该再看估值,我按收入算,十亿收入才算。我们有家公司刚做到 7 亿收入,我说好,还差 3 亿,你就是独角兽了。”(德鲁·塔格特)

同样一个模式,反复出现

杰森在收尾时给了个总结,把两场访谈缝在了一起:

“模式是一样的,一遍又一遍。你先有一点注意力和名气,然后练出某项真本事,接着必须把它转化成别的东西。名人特别擅长对新鲜事物感到兴奋,但三个月后那层光鲜就掉了,剩下的只有把任何事做成功所需的苦功。”(杰森·卡拉卡尼斯)

德鲁的回应很干脆:我们其实不在意头三个月。

杰森接了最后一句:你是个“一夜成名的十五年成功者”。

这话落在两个人身上都成立。杰克从 Vine 停更到 MVP 四百名拳手,中间隔了十几年;烟鬼组合从冷邮件求人做 remix 到管理一支一亿美元的基金,中间也隔了十几年。

名气能开门,但门里那间屋子,得自己一砖一砖盖。

  • 看一个“名人基金”值不值得跟,别看名气看 DPI。 亚历克斯自己说得很直白:机构 LP 拒绝他们的理由不是能力,是“出事时第一个被点名的是我”。这个顾虑只有数字能消解。作为出资人,把 DPI 和 IRR 拿去跟同期的红杉、Founders Fund 摆在一起比,是比较唯一有效的尺子。
  • 把“第二笔 tranche 高溢价、基本面没变”当成一个可复用的泡沫温度计。 杰森给的信号很具体:同一家公司,新一轮价格是上一轮的两三倍,而底层业绩没有对应变化,那就是有人在为叙事付钱。看到这种交易密集出现,就是该收紧的时候。
  • 如果你手里有注意力,尽早想清楚兑换路径。 杰克走过的顺序是内容、孵化器、拳击、投资、可能的政治,每一次都把上一层的资产折价成下一层的入场券。注意力本身会贬值,能不能换成一门可以独立运转的生意,是分水岭。
  • 做早期投资,把“第六人”当成一个正经的定位而不是退路。 不领投、不替代头部基金、专攻市场进入和品牌,这个位置在 AI 拉平技术差异之后反而更值钱。创始人在 A 轮最缺的往往不是钱,是能把氧气吸干的那口气。
  • 判断一个赛道有没有机会,看头部玩家给上游分多少钱。 UFC 给拳手 15%,其他职业联盟给 50%,杰克的整个 MVP 就建立在这个差额上。这个思路可以套到任何平台型生意:如果供给端拿得太少又无处可去,那就是一个可以撬的口子。
文稿由本站用语音识别模型(Whisper,基于官方发布音频)机器转写,可能有识别错误,没有说话人标注;人名与数字请以音频为准。
(00:00:00) Jake Paul has got to be the dumbest, cockiest, stupidest, most egotistical person in the social media sphere. Mr. President, what an honor. That's what makes him so damn successful. The world has shifted to attention being one of the most valuable currencies. He is the multi-talented superstar who bridged the cap between social media and professional boxing. He is a boxer, a content creator, an entrepreneur, a philanthropist. I have two main goals, definitely becoming world champion. And I want to exit a company for $1 billion. I never was like social media is the new wave. I was the wave. (00:00:45) Please welcome Jake Paul. What's up, man? What's up? How you doing? Good. Hey, don't fall asleep. When I say all, you say in. All. In. All. In. Let's go. Come on, guys. We're at the summit. Get that energy up. Jake, let's actually start where I think Nick and Clavicular ended, which is in this weird way, all of you guys have grown up in this social media generation. And you're maybe at the tail end of it. You're almost 30 now. Talk to us about your journey, because your journey started very similar to a lot of these guys, (00:01:35) which is you're there. You started Vine at the time. So it wasn't even really TikTok and YouTube. And then this success begets success. And then just walk us through what that does to you as an individual trying to find your way in the world. Yeah, it's a good question. You know, I don't remember a time where I wasn't already getting followers and people following me and coming up to me since I was super young. And I think for me personally, I was doing it before it was cool and because it was a passion. I think a lot of people now are trying to become influencers and trying to figure it out and seeing if they can go viral and create a team and build businesses around them because it's the cool thing to do. (00:02:24) And it seems like the best thing to do. But I think the people that authentically are actually entertaining and have a take and are filling a niche in the entertainment space and specifically on social media are the ones that succeed. I was doing it because I love doing it. And I was what did you love about it when you first started? I love creating. I love having a story and an idea in my mind and seeing it come to life and to be able to put it out there into the world and to make people laugh, to change their lives, to maybe make their day a little bit better. You know, people go through hard times and all these things on a daily basis. So if I could inspire someone in my messages every single day in my vlogs, I would say, make sure you're working hard. (00:03:11) Make sure you're smiling. Make sure you're chasing your dreams. And I think those simple reminders on a daily basis are why I was able to grow a really big audience. Does the pressure change your approach to the business as you started to become more and more successful? There's millions of people. And then in this weird way, the platform underneath you goes away. And so how did that change when you're like, oh, my God, I have to restart all over again. This business that I'd invested so much time in isn't there anymore. This is Vine specifically. Yeah, I wasn't too worried about it. So it's actually a funny story. And it's a good lesson for business owners. But we told the top 20 Viners told Vine, hey, you have to start paying us. Otherwise, we're going to stop posting on here because they weren't paying us. And we knew we were getting ripped off. (00:03:57) We were bringing in all of the content, all of the views, all of the fans. And we were like, hey, we need a million dollars. They went back to Twitter and they were like, hey, they want a million dollars. They came back and were like, yeah, we could pay you the million dollars. A million each or a million a month? Exactly. So they said, we'll pay you a million. How do you guys want to divide it between you? 20. And we were like, no, we need a million dollars each per year. And they said, no. We all stopped posting on the platform, transitioned to posting on Facebook, YouTube, and Snapchat. And within a couple of months, the Vine died out. Tell us about the evolution now of streaming and popularity and attention. How has it changed from when you started this 15 years ago? And what do you think happens to society and these generations of young men and women who now really aspire to be famous and have, you know, the things that you've built, which we'll talk about in a second. (00:04:50) But what happens, like, sociologically to these people? Yeah. You know, it's a weird world to grow up in. And I don't think we have the answer to that of how, you know, the iPad kid generation grows up. And they're able to access so many more things than we ever even were able to do. I still was in an era where I had to go knock on the door of my friend's house to go hang out with them. And so I got the technology, but also the analog real life. And so I have that balance. But I don't know what it looks like. I think there's a lot of, you know, not good streaming content out there and people doing things for clickbait, for views just to generate attention. (00:05:37) And I used to do that when I was a kid, you know, because I wanted to make it and I wanted to, you know, build a business and I wanted to build a following. And so I call it the YouTuber disease that people can fall into a lot of times where they're just saying absurd things to generate more press and clicks on a daily basis. Should YouTube take more responsibility in filtering some of this stuff and actually having more of a, maybe a moral view on what the spectrum of things is that they should support? Well, I think they're just one platform. And I think the problem is, and it's very similar to the AI race that's happening between the United States, Russia, China, is if YouTube stops it, then their viewership and people going to their platform go down. (00:06:25) And then Twitch, Kik, Twitter, Instagram, TikTok, whatever platform is still going up. So if they don't come together to solve the problem, then I don't think the problem will be solved. You've had to evolve from making content and you've started to be, I mean, a very successful businessman. The evolution of content creator tends to be you go from content creator, you're doing sponsorships, maybe you start to roll your own products. And then ideally, if there's cash flow, then you can start to actually own assets. Give us your version of that, how it happened for you. Yeah, so I'm an entrepreneur at heart. And so even before I blew up on YouTube, I went to SF in the Valley and fell in love with startups and seeing all of these big companies. (00:07:14) I got to go to Google, Twitter, Uber. I saw people in hacker houses building all of these insane apps. And that's when I started angel investing. And I started my own startup at the time, which was a social media label. And so I always saw vision in people and the potential in people. And so I'd find talent, sign them to my company, Team 10, and help them blow up. And I created 20 or more people with millions and millions of followers and revolutionized the content house. And that was my first startup that I did. And so I've always been in the business of startups, investing and being in the Valley since I was a young kid. One of the things that happened at one point is you started boxing. (00:08:03) And you had this incredible moment with Mike Tyson. I think it was 108 million people watched. 138. 138 million people watched on Netflix. And where did boxing come? And why did you feel like you had to put your body at risk, I guess, maybe? And was it because you were passionate about the sport? Or was it that you felt like that was an unexploited way in which you could continue to build awareness and attention? Yeah. So it started off because these two brothers from the UK were talking to me and my brother. And we were like, yo, let's just glove up and settle this. And I actually, we signed a contract to fight them in like three months it was. And I was like, I'm not going to lose. (00:08:50) And I went to a professional boxing gym the next day. And it was very grueling. But I grew up as an athlete in Ohio and just started training. And within that three-month period, got to be pretty good. Went into Manchester to fight them, enemy territory, and got a knockout. And that was one of the greatest feelings in my life. It felt very accomplished. And it was very fun. And I don't know if it's like a little sadistic, but it was like cool getting punched in the face and beating someone up. And from that moment on, it was the biggest pay-per-view in amateur boxing ever. And I saw the numbers. I loved it. (00:09:36) And I wanted to double down and become a professional boxer. And I took it very seriously. Moved out of Los Angeles to go and train in a secluded area in Puerto Rico where there's less distractions. And knew that I could take over the sport of boxing and saw the vision. Because most boxers build their record up. They fight easy fighters. Then all of a sudden, the first time you hear about a boxer is when they're 20-0. But I had this built-in audience of 100 million followers that followed along through every fight. And that I could also grow and build fighters underneath me. Similar to my original startup, Team 10, where it was influencers. So I just replicated that model. And now we have 400 fighters boxing MMA under MVP. (00:10:25) And we're going after Dana White, Sufa Boxing, and the UFC. Tell us about that. Where is UFC failing? Why is there an opportunity to rebuild MMA? Yeah, so first and foremost is they don't put fighters first. So they pay their fighters roughly 15% of their total revenue. Which in other professional sports leagues, it's 50%, 5-0. And so the fighters are pissed. They want to leave. They want to go box. They want to go find to make money somewhere else. Sean O'Malley got paid 600K on the White House card. And so because of that, the big fights aren't happening. They're not willing to pay for the big fights. And people don't want to risk it. They're not putting on the fights that fans want to see. (00:11:11) They're having trouble creating. So very classic, your margin, my opportunity kind of an opportunity. Exactly. You attract the talent because you're just willing to give them a very significant part of the gate. And the ref share and all of that stuff. Exactly. And letting them have sponsorships and not shelving them. There's a lot of drama between the fighters. And a lot of them want to move into boxing as well. And so in every industry, there's a Coke and a Pepsi and a Nike and an Adidas. And never before has it been possible to compete with the UFC until my company came into the fold. And we just merged with PFL. And it's going to be a very exciting next couple of years. How and when did you start angel investing? Because you're an investor in OpenAI, Cognition, SpaceX. (00:11:57) I mean, it's an incredible portfolio. How did that start? So I started angel investing when I was 18 years old after I went to the Valley. Made a ton of mistakes and then formalized a fund. Jeff is your partner. Yeah, Jeff Wu. Jeff Wu. And so we believe that we're in the attention economy and that capital is a commodity. And I think this is part of Elon buying Twitter. When you make a new account on Twitter, the first suggested follow is Elon pumping all of his companies through that. Very smart, obviously. But bringing attention to a company and to a cap table is something that we've found to be extremely valuable and something that founders need and want. Jake, what's the downside of an attention economy? (00:12:44) Like, what is the downside when popularity is how things first get arbitrated? Yeah. Yeah. No, I think the problem is if people forget to build great things and are focused on just building something to gain attention and to have eyeballs and to make it seem like they're doing something big. I think that's where there can be downside. And I think the inauthenticity that can come with trying to gain views is a massive problem I see in journalism, in reporting, and in people making content online. (00:13:29) A lot of times there's these crazy hot takes that people are coming up with because they know that it's going to garner a lot of views and make them money. At the end of the day, they're using that attention to try and make money. I think money runs the world. So in an attention economy, the inauthenticity will come through and it's not a good thing. So your attention mechanism, meaning the followers you have, the reach that you have, is a differentiator when you're investing in these businesses at some level. Because for some of these businesses, you can help them cut through the noise and generate a level of awareness that they wouldn't otherwise get. Correct. But also my years of experience in marketing and branding behind the scenes, we help with a lot of that, specifically with OpenAI Sora. (00:14:21) I actually was the one that told them, like, hey, this could be a good idea for you to launch a social media app. And was involved in the whole process of building out the app and something with them. Really? Oh, wow. Yeah, and then granted them my NIL to, you know, people can make videos with it. Name interest likeness. Yes. You just raised $100 million for that fund. You call it the anti-fund. And so is this, you're going to compete more aggressively with the traditional VCs or do you want to be sort of a compliment? How do you see this evolve? No, like that's what I hate about this like celebrity VC thing. That's, it's just annoying. Like if a lawyer is an investor, they don't call them a lawyer investor. Sure. So like I'm a celebrity, but they call me a celebrity investor. (00:15:08) It's like, no, compare me to the Sequoias of the world, our DPI and IRR, and let's see who does better. Yeah. Over the next five years, those are the people I want to compete with. We're super ambitious. And that's the ambition set and where we want to go. And so we, thank you. I'm ruthless out here. But yeah. Multi-stage, multi-sector, or how do you, how are you sort of evaluating? Yeah, we have a barbell approach. So we already deployed that fund. We were raising and deploying at the same time. So we're on to fund four now. And we have a barbell approach. First check in, helping founders build their company from the ground floor, identifying talent. Or going in growth stage and in companies that have the proven track record, best founders in the world, (00:15:59) with the Sams of the world, Palmers of the world, et cetera. And so we diversify on both sides. There's a natural evolution as you age, which is the things that you did before stop working, or they just need to stop. Obviously, like, you know, boxing, you're not going to be able to do forever. But you've been very creative in getting to the next lily pad. So just as we wrap, tell us, how do you see the next 10 or 15 years? Give us the sense of, like, media, fame, attention, business opportunities. How are you organizing Jake Paul Industries? Yeah, look, I think it's a flywheel. That feeds itself. You know, when I'm fighting, it brings attention to all of my other businesses. And when I'm, you know, investing, it's growing my business brand. (00:16:48) But it's something that I'm super passionate about that I'll do forever. When I'm making content, it also helps me grow my following to funnel things into fighting. Then I can also push my businesses, help more people. I have a foundation that we've opened up 40 gyms for kids to go and box in for free with, you know, sending kids to boxing events and tournaments, sponsoring them. So it's this whole flywheel and ecosystem that kind of feeds the whole empire and completely grows it. Where's 40? As we wrap, where's 40-year-old Jake Paul? Where do you see him? I think politics. That's a great answer. Why? I believe that the best way to, it's one of the best ways to make change in the world. (00:17:35) I've already done so much and accomplished so much. And where I get the most satisfaction is out of helping people. And where I'm doing that right now is in women's boxing and with young boxers and giving them a pedestal. And the biggest paydays of their career, we've completely revolutionized women's boxing and basically made it the WNBA. And before they were underpaid, underserved, and barely on any fight cards. So I get the most satisfaction actually out of doing that and then, you know, the appreciation I see from them. And I think the next step of that for me is helping the world. And I believe the best way to do that is some form of politics and actually being ground floor and making change. (00:18:22) And I believe that the future people in office will have a natural built-in following that they can talk to. I think I've been saying that for five years. And then recently Spencer Pratt comes along and is the first example of someone who is... Or Trump was probably the first, yeah. But even him, he's not like a... He didn't have that like social media native audience where he's making content. He was a traditional celebrity. And I think even the Nick Shirley's of the world. I think Nick should be in office doing something at some point. Like these are the future leaders of the next generation will have that built-in following and be able to capture the vote. Jake Paul, thank you very, very much. (00:19:09) Thank you. Bravo. Thanks, brother. Yeah, that was great. Who are you performing for? There's nobody here. You have to envision it, man. You have to manifest your destiny. If you don't envision your success, you'll never achieve it. Their music has gone platinum 25 times. These are the Chainsmokers that are to my right. Alex and Drew. They are one of the biggest DJ groups in the world. He shared a quote when you started Mantis. You know it's the end of the days for VCs when the Chainsmokers start doing this. Music to venture capital, a whole different game. Are you legally allowed to say investing, Mantis? Tech investing, you just get a fancy view of the future. (00:19:55) It's the most stimulating show you could watch. Please welcome Drew, Tigert, and Alex Paul. What's up, my guy? Good to see you. Great to see you, brother. What's up, brother? How you doing? Good to see you. Good to see you, man. What's up, bro? Good to see you. Man, last time I saw you guys, me and Friedberg, we're in the pit. 1 a.m., we're dancing our asses off. You guys threw down. We were impressed. I didn't expect you guys to stay. I mean, I'm there to the sunrise. When you guys stop playing, I got another 20 minutes. I'm good. Friedberg was high as a kite. He was, somebody gave him a pill in Ibiza. (00:20:42) He just popped this little thing, and he was dancing like a fool. I'm kidding. I'm kidding. I like the pre-party. Pre-parties are more my scene. A little quieter. Oh, that was the other great part. You go, and you're VIP for Chainsmokers. They have a suite, and you go in, and there's like 50 guys. 50 guys, and then all these famous people are there, and then they walk you through the tunnel with the Chainsmokers. Boom. And then there's 10,000 people in Vegas losing their fucking minds. How long have you been doing that? What do they call it? The residency. The residency. We've been at the Wynn in Vegas for eight years. We've been in Vegas for 10 years, and I think we are going to be, we're going to die there. As long as we stay relevant. I wouldn't be buried at EBC personally. I like the Beach Club better. The Wynn is your LP. (00:21:28) That's your anchor LP in your funding. Exactly. Yeah. Exactly. Can you guys talk about your evolution in making music? How did you find each other? How did you guys first figure out the genre of music that was going to work? And then, you know, this first little burst of success, what did it feel like? Like, what were you thinking would happen? Probably not this, but just... Yeah. Well, we met through kind of a, I guess it's a friend of a friend. And weirdly, we didn't know each other at all before. Alex had started the Chainsmokers with a different guy, and they had a falling out. And he was like, okay, we put all this work into it. You know, we're DJing all these shows around New York City. This is like 2011, 12. (00:22:15) And then I went to school at Syracuse and was just finishing up around that time. Alex was like, I want to find, you know, Chainsmokers with two people. I need another person. And I was just making music at school, and we got introduced. And weirdly, you know, didn't realize at the time the biggest decision of our life. Basically met and said, you seem cool. Let's start a band. And here we are, 14 years later, still best friends. And we've done a bunch of, you know, had a lot of success in music, luckily. And yeah, we're so like-minded in so many other areas, which is the luckiest thing that's ever happened to me. Is it hard to make new music and feel like you're pushing new ground when maybe a lot of people want to hear the classics, so to speak? Or they have you kind of like in a certain vein of how your music should sound? (00:23:05) We were just talking about that earlier, actually. And, you know, I think there's one side of the equation is like, you know, there's a sound that we created that people, you know, have become accustomed to hearing from us that we love making. And then you see that like one Twitter troll that's like, you guys make the same song over and over again. And then suddenly you're like, I'll show you. And you sort of, you know, get away from it a little bit. I don't think that one Twitter troll is responsible for the genesis of our music. But I think, you know, we like to challenge ourselves and, you know, I think more than anything, we just follow our creativity and wherever it goes. And we, you know, don't have a label on specifically what type of music we think we make. But I also think, ironically, right now there's this like big yearning for nostalgia, just generally. (00:23:51) And, you know, we find ourselves in this interesting position where, you know, there was this big trend in January around 2016, which was a pretty special year for us in our career. And, you know, now we're, you know, in 2026, coming to the end of it, sort of wondering, like, where do we find that balance between, you know, what makes our music exciting for us to make and perform, but also tap into that, I don't know, like that special feeling. Why do you think there is this need for nostalgia? I mean, it's funny you say this, because like, I listen to the, I look at the Spotify playlists of my children who are in their, you know, teenage years. And it's so much throwback stuff. They're listening to Elton John. They're, they're going all the way back. And I thought, how, why is that happening? I mean, it's hard to say exactly. (00:24:38) It's probably different from different segments of people. But I think everyone remembers the past, you know, more favorably than the present. And they want to existentially exist in a time that they can kind of color and with their own memories. And, you know, I don't know. There's like a simplicity. We just say like, maybe the music was just better back then. Yeah, I think there, well, yeah. I mean, tell us about the business of music. And then we'll talk about the business of business. Sure. Because you guys have done an incredible job of transcending. But just, you need a nut, you know? You need to start your first, something, the first thing has to work. And you have to make it into a real business. And you did that. Explain the business of your business before you. Do you want to say, I'm going to be too negative about the music business. I can be positive. Yeah. (00:25:24) Okay. Do it. I'll start. I'll be positive first. Yeah. I mean, and the music business is an extremely competitive landscape. And I mean, now there are 300,000 songs being uploaded to Spotify every day. Wow. And this content. 300,000 a day. That's right. Wow. Yeah. And so, I mean, when we started in 2012, it wasn't like that. It was pre-streaming. And, you know, I think if we started over today, I have no idea how we would do it. But in 2012, you know, as we were kind of cutting our teeth in dance music and as producers and songwriters, we started doing remixes. We loved indie electronic music. There was this chart called Hype Machine, which was the first viral chart of the internet. (00:26:09) This is way before streaming. And basically how you were charted on this, the algorithm was basically how many times a certain amount of blogs posted about you. And then that's how you entered the chart. And then how many likes you got on that chart. So what we would do is we'd go to all these artists because we loved all the music that was being posted on this chart and we'd beg them to do remixes. And then Alex went in the back end of Hype Machine and he found every kid that wrote for every blog that they pulled music from. And, you know, we'd make this remix of a song they were already posting about. And then he would write them these hilarious emails, like super personalized, gave them about where they went to school. Because what he realized is all these kids are college kids that want to be closer to artists. And, you know, all these labels that are sending these blanket boring promotional emails, it (00:26:59) was uninspiring. So like they were really receptive to, you know, Alex's messages. And we went from in the first year of our career, pretty much being completely obscure to having, we now have like 30 number ones on that site because we were remixing the right thing. And he was, but I think within the first year of our career, Alex had developed like the most powerful promotional platform, probably more than any other label at the time. I mean, it's like content marketing. It's like you guys. I mean, that was just like our hustle at the time. Like that's not applicable now. Maybe it's TikTok. Maybe it's, I don't know if we had to start from that point, but that was kind of our first thing as we were, you know, what we did, what we were learning to be, you know, good producers and songwriters, find our artistic identity. Yeah, like it feels a bit broken too, when I think about what the music model is right (00:27:47) now. And I think there's a lot of parallels between what happens in venture and what happens on the label side of deals. You know, there's more channels for distribution than ever and to create your own audience and goes directly to your fans and create your own community. And I'm honestly like very interested to see who will be that like first brand new artist that sort of rejects all the typical, you know, customary things that like an artist does, like signing with a label and, you know, signing away your next five albums and things like this. And I think we're like on the precipice of that. But I do think there's this sort of like vicious cycle that happens in music where, you know, it's so hard to break through. And when you finally do break through, you're in this position where A, you're probably being offered your first couple of million dollars that you've ever made in your life for something, you know, that you've poured your heart and soul into. (00:28:34) And then you also think about all the people you've admired over the course of your lives. And they all generally sign with labels too. And so is this like the moment where you decide to like truly bet on yourself and go direct in every sense of the word? Or do you sort of like take the slightly safer route, but in the process sort of sell a part of your self and future self to sort of the label model? And there's a lot of value that labels still provide, I think, in different capacities. But I think it's like a completely new world out there right now. I don't think anyone really has a clue what's going to happen, particularly with like AI and music and streaming and YouTube and all these other platforms and people's intentions getting shorter and shorter. And, you know, it's a kind of crazy time right now. Very exciting, but also just vastly different than the period of, you know, music we started (00:29:24) 12 years ago. But on this music side of your lives, you guys do a lot of live performance. Is that where most of the income is then generated? Is that really the business today is live performance versus digital? And once you've kind of broken through there and you've got an audience, doesn't that kind of just keep feeding itself? It is for us. I mean, it depends on what type of touring you do. I mean, we have songs that we go and perform. Sometimes we'll have a whole band and we'll do an arena tour and there's crazy overhead. And luckily for us, like we came up in dance music. We were DJs before we were anything. And that's a big part of, I guess, our touring business and there's vastly better economics there. So for us, that is the case. So then can we talk then about the transition to investing, how you got into it and how this part of your lives helped you kind of make that transition? (00:30:12) Yeah, I mean, Drew kind of touched on it. I mean, I think we've always had a really positive relationship generally with technology. I think we leveraged it in very clever ways throughout our career, like the growth hacking Drew was talking about. Our friend James created this like conference technology called Tilt that we used for touring data. You know, and this is like pre-cloud, pre sort of all this backend data that was available to us right now. And so I think that like established sort of a positive relationship. And honestly, like our foray into venture was about as cliche as it gets. Like we were, you know, lucky to be a successful artist. We had this, you know, distribution and marketing platform via the Chainsmokers. And thus we were sort of like catnip for consumer brands. And, you know, I think, you know, that was an interesting, exciting time for us to start (00:30:57) investing. But I think what really struck us and resonated was like the relationship with founders and the ability to like add value back into the businesses. And I think that's what caught us off guard. Instead of kind of treating it like this like passive revenue opportunity, we wanted to be hands on and like sort of take matters into our own hands. And then also like, I mean, I love creative people. I think it's so amazing to have this, you know, career in music. But there's something inspiring about working with an entrepreneur that's like putting it all on the line, sort of going 24-7 towards this like pretty, you know, big goal. And I won't lie, like more water companies is not what the world needs. And, you know, we were like meeting great founders like Brian Chesky and Drew Houston and Michael Seibel and the Khan brothers. And you sort of got to ask yourself, you're like, you know, what, where do we want to (00:31:43) be spending our time and money? Like, you know, most of this stuff probably won't work out. At least let's invest in things that we think are like truly interesting, could actually have a positive impact on the world. I remember like personally, I invested in like the series like G of Uber or something like some, the final round. And, and I thought it was like the smartest, coolest thing I ever done. I mean, I've made like 25 bucks on that investment today. But like that to me was like the sort of thing that we wanted to be a part of in the future. And I think that led us down like a path to, you know, institutionalizing our access, becoming, you know, really great partners to, you know, companies in cybersecurity, AI, infra, deep tech, and taking it, you know, incredibly seriously. How did you learn to assess your selection process? So, you know, these things are coming in, you've not seen a cybersecurity company before, (00:32:31) I'm assuming the first time you saw one, you know, how do you start to make these choices? Yeah, I mean, I think like on some levels, that was the big question. It was like, we definitely have an interest here. I think like the most important piece was like, we're going to show up and we're going to be good partners. Like, I'm not going to do the traditional, like, you know, song and dance to get what we want and then sort of disappear into the fray. But I also agree, like, we weren't super clear on like, what does a cybersecurity company need? But I think what was interesting is after speaking with a ton of founders that we've, you know, been lucky enough to build relationships with, it felt like the things that were keeping them up at night and challenging them as they built their modern business in the modern present day, were a lot of the things that like we had a lot of experience with. And sort of what I mean by that is like, we make music almost the same way we did 15 years ago. But like everything else around that business has completely changed in terms of how we (00:33:19) distribute it, create community, sell it, tour it, and all these things. And I think building a company, obviously, you still care about, you know, revenue, net dollar retention, customer acquisition costs, COGS, all those things. But the inputs by which you create them is different. And it felt like there was an opportunity to build sort of a differentiated type of firm that isn't necessarily supposed to be a substitute for a craft or Sequoia or whoever's out there, but be like a collaborative partner. And sort of like, for lack of a better term, like understand our role in the ecosystem. Can you unpack then what does the firm look like then? I mean, we're, you know, me, Jeff, Drew Milan founded it. We have, you know, a few great partners in like Ingrove. We, you know, specialize in or focus at least across cyber, AI, infra, deep tech, and health tech. And we invest in series A stage companies. (00:34:07) We don't take lead positions. We like being the sixth man of the year on these teams. It's sort of like, I think of ourselves as like Robert Horry. Like Robert Horry is a ton of championship rings, you know, and you could be really successful and you don't have to be, you know, Shaquille O'Neal on every team. And I think we've learned a lot by working with great firms. And we've also learned a lot by working with great founders. And that's sort of getting back to your question is the kind of the whole point, which is like beginning to build that muscle, that pattern recognition on what greatness looks like. What are these firms doing to support these founders? And then I think we all over-exaggerate like what everyone is actually doing for these companies. And I was surprised by like, you know, I get an email saying like, hey, is there any way you can get me in, you know, on the phone with this person? And it was like, actually, yes, we played their company party three days ago. That's no problem. (00:34:53) And so we've been like extraordinarily helpful when it comes to like go-to-market relationships, brand, you know, sort of the brand building side of things, which I think is, you know, become really important nowadays when you talk about like the defensibility, indefensibility that AI has created around tech. You really need to like suck the oxygen. I mean, this is a critical point. You guys are just extraordinary entrepreneurs. To actually make a business work in the music industry is one of the most difficult things you could ever do. It's a magnitude more difficult than making software. And so you have, I think, a lot of credibility there. And go-to-market and being able to support people in networking and then also knowing when to get out of the way. The great founders very rarely need help. And when they do, something like networking or something like understanding the business model, (00:35:41) you are actually very well connected to do it. And deal flow is the hardest part of being a venture capitalist. We are blessed with this podcast, you know, gives us the ability to get a lot of deal flow. And you're blessed with the fact that, hey, you guys are very well respected in your field. And, you know, a lot of the people who are founders have probably come to see you play and might have jammed out to your music. And I think it's absolutely valid. And, you know, for people to kind of goof on it or whatever, you're doing the work. It's very easy to goof on a venture capitalist. But it's hard work. I love being the underdog. Like, that's the best position. It's the best position. And I think, like, I wouldn't bet against us. And I don't think anyone that has it's worked out with. But, like, keep letting us, keep underestimating us. (00:36:26) I'm happy to be in that position. But, like, we love the hard work. We love showing up. That's always been in our DNA. And I, you know, for us, it's, this is an incredible opportunity. I mean, I studied art history at NYU. Like, all of this is unbelievable to me to be in this position doing any of this stuff. So we don't take it for granted. But, like, it's, you know, these things are people's life work and, you know, life's dreams. And, you know, to be able to go, you know, play shows all over the world for our fans and see the experience that what our music means to people. I mean, it's the most fulfilling thing I can imagine doing with our lives. You know, as tech has gotten bigger and bigger, I mean, I've noticed that there's a tremendous curiosity from people in Hollywood. I mean, not just music business, but acting or the agencies. I mean, everyone kind of wants to get in it in some way. (00:37:14) You guys have invested in, like, a ton of unicorns. I mean, you have a phenomenal track record of the companies you've gotten into. It's very impressive. I'm curious, like, what advice would you give someone in Hollywood who maybe has, like, huge stardom? You know, it's very well known. And they're, like, who could get allocations and deal just based on their name. But they have no idea how to do it. What would your advice to them be? I mean, I would ask them if they paid off their mortgage first. And if they've done all of that stuff, I'd say, like, venture is probably the last frontier to begin investing in, in my opinion. Because it is long duration, illiquid assets generally. I mean, venture is also just extremely hard. I mean, you're talking about, you know. Extremely hard. We were looking at some chart yesterday in our chat. (00:38:00) Just like the, you know, top 5% generate 90% of returns. Like, you have to just be in the best companies. And so when you're, it's brutal out here to have success in two things, whether it's sports, Hollywood, music, and then venture. Like, you just, you got to approach it the same way. Like, we dedicate all of our time to these two things. Like, we work 24-7. We are heavy in the streets. We've seen a lot of people that have asked us, you know, we want to get into the venture game. And, you know, it's very rare that those, usually when we meet with them, we meet with their teams. And they don't show up for the call. And I don't think people realize, like, how much work it is. Does your fame help or hurt you? Like, every dollar we've raised personally, every deal we've had to get in personally. (00:38:48) Because there's a lot of noise, basically. You have to sift through that to find. I don't think people want to do that. Like, I really, I think the idea of venture is super exciting. But what it takes is extremely hard. Does your fame help, hurt, or neutral? I think both. I mean, to be honest. I mean, I think there's obviously opportunities to connect with people that probably would. I mean, I'm on LinkedIn all the time leveraging my, like, name and getting in touch with people that I want to speak with. But then there's obviously, like, the fundraising side where, you know, you're speaking to a principal at a, you know, institution. And they're just like, listen, I like what you're doing. But I'm not about to, like, invest in the Chainsmokers Fund. Because, like, you'll be the first thing that will be pointed out to me if something goes wrong. And I understand that. And I think you need to be empathetic to that point. And I think, you know, we just are always been results-driven guys. (00:39:34) So it's like, all good. I'll be back next fund with numbers that will make you regret this decision. And we'll try this again. I think you're saying something incredibly powerful. It is so, I think, like, if I learned anything in that chapter of my life as an investor, the ability to generate consistent DPI cuts through all the noise. Because they could have issues with you or not. People have had issues with me and not. But what's undeniable are returns. And the ability to convert whatever asset you have, attention, fame, track record, technical experience, whatever, into results really does speak for itself. Because that's the one thing I think investors have a very good tendency to do is they have an extremely short memory for everything other than returns. Yeah. And I think that's, like, one of the... I mean, we're still relatively... It's been 12 years since our first check and seven years since we started the fund. (00:40:21) And, you know, I still feel like the new kid on the block. And I feel like, you know, what's challenging right now, and I'm sure you guys have discussed ad nauseum up here, is just, like, there is so much liquidity going into everything right now that, you know, it's not just about riding in a company that you know is going to get marked up just by virtue of the people involved. And I think that, like, that's the hard part, but also, like, the responsibility of being a good manager, which is, like, really investing in, like, ideas, founders, businesses that feel real and tangible versus sort of, like, the hype-y side of venture, which is, you know, very relevant. And you could honestly go out here and invest in a, you know, there's a ton of companies where you're like, I know this is just going to get marked up, but I just don't see the vision long-term for where this company heads. And I think that's the challenge as someone that, like, yes, I love those results, that (00:41:11) TVBI always looks great, but, like, you know, really betting on a bigger vision idea. Like, I mean, obviously, Airbnb at the time, Uber, when you did it, Jason, like, that was a non-obvious decision. To your point, I introduced 21 angel investors to Travis, and 19 said no. Three said yes. Me, Simon, Bannister, and first-round capital. Why do you think they said no and you guys said no? I can tell you the reasons. They said, well, this is a dirty business in the real world. We don't want to be involved in it. We invest in software companies. If he will just sell the software, a very famous venture capitalist told me, if you can convince Travis to just sell the software to the cab companies, we'll back it. But we don't want to be in that dirty real-world business because somebody's going to get hit (00:42:00) by an Uber and die, and, you know, then we're going to be on the hook for it. It's just, it's too complicated. It's too dirty. And Robinhood was the same thing. I mean, they looked at Robinhood and they laughed at that company. And we were in that company before they left. I remember when that company was raising its seed, Series A, it was a total joke. People were like, this is the dumb thing. You know, it's not a... It was a huge mistake. I'll tell you what I made wrong in Robinhood. It was purely my own ego. They had a sign-up list of like some number of millions of people. And one of our principals was really adamant that we invest in this business. And what I couldn't get over was my own previous experience at Facebook and how I had helped architect its growth mechanism, and it violated too many priors for me. And I just couldn't get around it. (00:42:46) And, you know, when you look at that, that's a billion-dollar mistake, which is horrible. By the way, I really resonate with that. Like, we don't invest in any music apps or anything related. It's almost too close. Yeah. Because I have like a very hard time sort of not being a pessimist about these opportunities. And I think you have to... I don't want to call it like blind optimism, but like sort of pragmatic optimism. Any investment you've made where you've lost money, you never invest in that space again. It's like so common. Or if you've had success. It's just too close. Like, oh, we're going to get rid of the manager. And you're like, what? No chance. I'm like, you know, these things you experience. The one thing that will cut through all of that biases is just understanding how capable this person is, you know, and how difficult and driven they are. And that is at the core. (00:43:31) When I met Vlad and his partner, and they said, we're going to get millennials to invest. And we're going to do it because they're going to invest for free. All I thought to myself is, these guys are extraordinary. They're so smart. And they're quants. And now they're going to build this app. Right. What if it works? And that is the hard question is to just pause for a second and say, if this does work, what does the world look like? And now we're over 10 years in Robinhood. I've never sold a share. In fact, I bought a lot of shares when it was $9 a share in the public market again. You've still not sold? Still haven't sold a single share. I mean, I've sold a lot of Uber over the years because it was 99% of my net worth at one point. And it was no choice but to do that. But I still hold a lot. And Robinhood is a very special company because now you have two generations of people on it. (00:44:18) And Vlad keeps launching the next vertical, the next vertical, the next vertical. Totally. Until he's not running that company and he doesn't have the product vision and execution. Those things can't be faked. Execution cannot be faked. Here's an interesting observation. Not sure if it's true or not. When you look at the great investors of an asset class, it is usually the case that they have no priors in that asset class. You know, Mike Moritz was a journalist, right? John Doerr was, you know, Intel chip sales. And look at the wood that they chopped in the internet. No priors. If you look at this next current generation of people coming up that are like super investors. So there is something to be said for being far away. Yeah. But having that curiosity and the ability to network and the ability to think critically about a problem, I think that's a very good thing to do. (00:45:05) How are you guys now thinking about, you know, when I pick venture funds to be in, I have these like four Ds. Deal flow. You guys got that. Decision making. You're very sharp, obviously. And you're very astute in terms of your own careers. But then there becomes a doubling down and when to double down an investment and then when to distribute, when to sell shares in it. You're actually at that point now if you're in year 10. How do you think about doubling down on an investment or not? And then how are you thinking about distribution selling too early, which is actually how you're successful in this business in some cases? It's a really good question. And, you know, we're coming up on our seventh year. We actually just had one of our first proper liquidity events with a fun one company. Shout out to Underdog Fantasy. What company? Underdog Fantasy. Oh, okay. So it's IG International. (00:45:51) How great is that day to send your LP to? Amazing feeling. Amazing feeling. And I think, like, partially, you know, we think about this a lot because in my mind it's like we've made 75% of the business model. But, like, we really need to get, you know, the cash back to our investors. Otherwise, none of this really matters at the end of the day. But I do think, like, a lot about the profile of the people and especially early on in Funds 1 and Funds 2 who invested with us. And then they're not here really generally to play it safe with us. So I think we have, like, a little bit of more liberty to, like, ride out the winners. But I think that's exactly that. It's like you have to, you know, really be involved in these companies. I mean, you know, Dandy and Fund 1, which is an amazing company that continues to double every single year, just started international expansion. You're just like, I'm riding this thing till the wheels fall off. (00:46:38) But I think, like, in the context of where, you know, AI is today and all the capital flowing into it and then all the, you know, external conversations around it. I mean, I wake up every day and I'm like, you could probably build a business model about getting into super serious competitive Series A's, adding value and just getting out of the Series B or C. And just that is, like, your guaranteed rule. That's not what we're doing. But I think, you know, it's important to pay attention to those signals. And I actually think, like, there's a few companies in our portfolio that I won't name where I'm like, it's interesting to watch the demand before around and then the price gets set. And then the feeling around that company at that new price. And then either the demand sort of builds again or it kind of stays where it is. And it's very interesting to pay attention to the sort of signal supply and demand feeling. (00:47:26) Obviously, the secondary market setter emails every day and these, like, you know, secondary market opportunities to get liquidity. But I think that's where, you know, you need to spend a lot of time on the underwriting and try to, you know, really understand the potential of these businesses. On the follow-on piece, I mean, it's all about, you know, concentrating in your winners. I think that's a skill that takes time to learn and experience to have the balls to know what that is. I want to credit Brian Singerman to, like, lecturing me for, like, two hours once about the importance of follow-on. And you've gotten better. But you can architect it into your fund, you know. I mean, Founders Fund, I think what's brilliant about them on many dimensions. But one is they force you to find the one in the portfolio and say, great, we're going to put 25% of the capital. (00:48:12) Every fund. Every fund. You've got to find one. Which, to your point, is incredibly scary if you're forced to sit there and you have to underwrite a deal, your deal, the other partner's deal, and cut everything else. Yeah. I mean, it's like literally. It's scary. It's like saying, like, I'm going to go live at this Founders Hall. I'm actually going to become an employee of this company for the next three months and, you know, figure out a way to have, you know, the leverage to convince them to basically put that size of check in. Which isn't, like, something we've traditionally had a lot of, you know, experience doing in the past. But it's, I think, like, when I look back, like, the signals were always there. Like, I always knew the ones that we should have been doing that with. But it's just, I think, you know, we're just taking the steps, I think, one at a time to get comfortable to a place where you have the, you know, guts and sort of understand the intangible signals around these things that make it odd. (00:49:01) Have you thought about doing, like, a growth fund? Because some people do that where they'll have the sidecar where they'll be able to put a ton of capital in versus concentrating the main fund. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, we debate this all the time. We're growing into the idea of a growth fund, you know. I mean, the other option that is very elegant is SPVs. And I can trade notes with you on it. But it's worked pretty elegantly for us. And one of the things that's starting to happen, which you're going to experience shortly, is if you do the job right, you'll curate a bunch of LPs. We have a bunch of family offices who want to do late stage. So they're very interested in the zip line deal, the vast deal, the Adams deal that we did. And then I have early stage investors. We had a company that broke out, Go.ai. And we had early stage investors who invested sub $10 million who wanted some liquidity. (00:49:51) And there was some litiquity. We were modest sellers. And then we had so many late stage funds that wanted to buy it. We were also buying at the latest round at $500, $600 million. Sequoia is having this happen now. And so is Founders Fund. They are investing in companies, whether it's Stripe or SpaceX, et cetera. And they're also selling at the same time. And because companies are staying long for so long, you can actually build both of those parts of the business into one. And I think that's where venture is going. You could have a very nice late stage business with just the top 10 people. I'm blown away by the size and scale of these companies now. I mean, saying the word billion even like 12 years ago or 10 years ago was like the thing you had said where you're like, you know, will you lick the pavement and I'll give you like a billion dollars. (00:50:37) You know, it was like such a rational number. And now it's a billion in revenue. Like I think being a unicorn now really should be redefined not on the valuation, on the revenue. I consider unicorns a billion in revenue. I don't care about the paper value anymore. I want to see and we have one company that's just hit 700 million in revenue. I'm like, OK, 300 million more to go. You'll be a unicorn. Yeah. And I mean, that's I think that understanding that is really important going back to like the secondary sort of question and when you get out. Because, I mean, you know, at the end of the day, it's just another you're just passing bags around sometimes in these instances. And, you know, these double, triple tranche deals that are happening right now, which I honestly completely understand from the Sequoia benchmark index client or perspective, because I don't feel like their cost of capital is the same necessarily as everyone else's. (00:51:22) But like the guy piling on that second tranche is paying a significant markup, sometimes two or three X what the company is initially valued at, for absolutely no change in underlying performance. That's bubble market behavior, by the way. When you see that, that's when you take a little note. As we wrap, maybe final question. Do you guys still perform? Still perform? Yeah, every now and then. For you guys? Yeah. Well, yeah, we'll make an exception. Yeah. What are you guys doing tonight? You guys any plans tonight? We'll come by. Do you guys have a thumb drive? If Friedberg can tell us where we're going. I think I've texted you like, nice. I got tequila for you. It'll be great. We'll share a bottle of tequila before. I haven't tried you guys' tequila yet. Friedberg is going to break it down tonight on the dance floor. So watch out, everybody. It's really impressive what you guys have done. (00:52:08) Yeah. Seriously. Well done, gentlemen. It's the same pattern over and over again, meaning like you have some attention and fame, you develop some mastery, and then you've got to translate it into something. But I think I'll leave it on this note. Great to see people translate. Celebrities are so good at being like, oh, this is shiny and I'm excited by this. But after three months, that shininess wears off. And all you're stuck with is the actual hard work that goes into making anything successful. And I think that's always been our difference, which is like- Put in the work. We don't actually care about the first three months. Put in the work. Yeah. Do the work. You're an overnight 15-year success. Here we go. Yeah. All right. Thank you, guys. Give it up for the chains. Smoker. Ah, boom. That's awesome. Yeah, we'll see you in a couple hours. That's great. Yeah, very good.

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